RISK WATCHChartMill • 6d ago
After-Hours Movers: SNTI, BRAI, CLS Rise; SPRC, DVLT FallAfter-hours movers: SNTI +54.25%, BRAI +29.25%, CLS +17.17%, SPRC -26.67%, DVLT -22.44% and ONCO -21.70%; CLS, JBLU, WHR and others reported results.
Why AREC Stock surged +4.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.27 +4.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28
American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $136.4M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AREC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is AREC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AREC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $1.27 (+4.51% 1D, market cap $136.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AREC ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AREC compare to NC and METCB in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AREC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, NC (NACCO Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $269.6M) and METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AREC?
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Per AREC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590715), American Resources Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $55.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $168.9M in total assets and $965.3K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28 (+0.62%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AREC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AREC SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (31% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$1.59-28.3% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$1.14+0% Next Q
56
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$1.14+11.4% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D$1.27-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AREC Turnaround Squeeze
While AREC currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.83) and Max Pain ($1.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.19.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AREC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AREC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AREC Stock surged +4.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) surged +4.51% to $1.27, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($1.06 – $4.94). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($1.06 – $4.94) with RSI-14 at 34 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $3.8M annual free cash flow.
Live AREC Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 11d ago
American Resources Corporation and ReElement Technologies Advance Strategic Partnership with Uzbekistan to Commercially Demonstrate High-Purity Tungsten RefiningNew agreement with Uzbekistan Technological Metals Complex and the Uzbekistan Fund for Reconstruction and Development advances collaboration beyond the November 2025 MOU toward a commercial demonstration programFollowing
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 11d ago
American Resources And ReElement Technologies Enter Tungsten Processing And Refining Agreement With Uzbekistan Technological Metals ComplexAmerican Resources Corporation (NASDAQ:AREC) ("American Resources" or "AREC"), together with ReElement Technologies Corporation ("ReElement"), a leading U.S. developer and operator of advanced
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 11d ago
Why Super Micro Computer Shares Are Trading Higher By 13%; Here Are 20 Stocks Moving PremarketSuper Micro lifts Q1 revenue outlook on AI demand, sending shares up 13%; Robin Energy led premarket gainers, while Alpha Teknova fell after $40M offering.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AREC)
- ✓Walkthrough of AREC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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AREC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.26%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $1.24H $1.29L $1.20C $1.27VOL 2.13M
RES: $3.08SUP: $1.02SMA50: $1.83SMA200: $2.35
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AREC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AREC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AREC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AREC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AREC)
Energy Rank #143 of 211
⚔️ NC vs AREC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (AREC vs. NC, METCB, METC, NRP)
Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) ranks #143 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #183 by equity capitalization ($136.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NC leads on earnings valuation at 15.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with AREC at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AREC
ACTIVE
American Resources Corporation (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | -14.0% | +4.51% | $136.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| NC NACCO Industries Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 15.3x | 13.9% | 4.6% | +2.06% | $269.6M | /nc-vs-arec → |
| METCB Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B) | D | 50/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.06% | $270.7M | /metcb-vs-arec → |
| METC Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.00% | $468.1M | /metc-vs-arec → |
| NRP Natural Resource Partners LP | C+ | 69/100 | — | — | 18.4% | -0.88% | $1.54B | /nrp-vs-arec → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001590715In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.1K , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $55.4M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AREC closed FY2025 with $168.9M in total assets against $965.3K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $55.4M | — | — | $168.9M | $965.3K |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $34.1K | -$39.2M | -$21.2M | -$22.3M | $281.7M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $11.8M | -$38.5M | -$19.5M | -$19.5M | — | — |
3. AREC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AREC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AREC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $1.27 (+4.51% 1D, market cap $136.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AREC ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AREC compare to NC and METCB in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AREC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, NC (NACCO Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $269.6M) and METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AREC?
Per AREC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590715), American Resources Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $55.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $168.9M in total assets and $965.3K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AREC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AREC last traded at $1.27 (+4.51% on volume of 3,971,161 shares), positioning the stock -30.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.83) and -45.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.35). Across its 52-week range of $1.06 to $4.94, AREC sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.11 to $1.43).
AREC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AREC stock moving today?
Why AREC Stock surged +4.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.