Stock Ratings / Energy / AREC / forecast

NC (60) METCB (50) METC (47) NRP (69) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.27 +4.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28

American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $136.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28 (+0.62%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AREC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AREC SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$1.59-28.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$1.14+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.14+11.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.27-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AREC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AREC currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.83) and Max Pain ($1.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AREC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AREC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AREC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.27: 7874.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.96

$7,559

$-2,441 (-24.4%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.23

$9,685

$-315 (-3.1%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $5.19

$40,866

+$30,866 (+308.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$5	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AREC)

✓Walkthrough of AREC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AREC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.26%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $1.24H $1.29L $1.20C $1.27VOL 2.13M

RES: $3.08SUP: $1.02SMA50: $1.83SMA200: $2.35

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AREC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AREC Butterfly Map → + Track AREC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AREC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AREC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AREC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AREC)

Energy Rank #143 of 211 ⚔️ NC vs AREC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (AREC vs. NC, METCB, METC, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) ranks #143 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #183 by equity capitalization ($136.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NC leads on earnings valuation at 15.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with AREC at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AREC ACTIVE American Resources Corporation (Class A)	D	51/100	—	—	-14.0%	+4.51%	$136.4M	Benchmark Subject
NC NACCO Industries Inc.	C-	60/100	15.3x	13.9%	4.6%	+2.06%	$269.6M	/nc-vs-arec →
METCB Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)	D	50/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.06%	$270.7M	/metcb-vs-arec →
METC Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.00%	$468.1M	/metc-vs-arec →
NRP Natural Resource Partners LP	C+	69/100	—	—	18.4%	-0.88%	$1.54B	/nrp-vs-arec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001590715

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.1K , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $55.4M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AREC closed FY2025 with $168.9M in total assets against $965.3K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$55.4M	—	—	$168.9M	$965.3K
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$34.1K	-$39.2M	-$21.2M	-$22.3M	$281.7M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$11.8M	-$38.5M	-$19.5M	-$19.5M	—	—

3. AREC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AREC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AREC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $1.27 (+4.51% 1D, market cap $136.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AREC ranks #143 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AREC compare to NC and METCB in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AREC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, NC (NACCO Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $269.6M) and METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AREC?

Per AREC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590715), American Resources Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $55.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $168.9M in total assets and $965.3K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AREC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AREC last traded at $1.27 (+4.51% on volume of 3,971,161 shares), positioning the stock -30.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.83) and -45.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.35). Across its 52-week range of $1.06 to $4.94, AREC sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.11 to $1.43).

AREC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AREC's 12-month stock price target?

American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.23 (-3.1% from $1.27), with a bull-case target of $5.19 and a bear-case floor of $0.96.

Is AREC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AREC D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 51/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AREC RQD Cockpit AREC 12M Forecast AREC Earnings & Move AREC Dividends & DRIP AREC Insiders & 13F AREC Whale Options AREC Profit Sankey AREC News & Why