Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$3.10 0.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $772.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$9 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ARDX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARDX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.1%
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ARDX Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ARDX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ARDX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARDX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ARDX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ARDX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.03%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $3.09H $3.12L $2.96C $3.10VOL 3.63M
RES: $2.43SUP: $2.69SMA50: $3.43SMA200: $5.33
$7.74$6.44$5.15$3.85$2.55RES $2.43SUP $2.69$3.102026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARDX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARDX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARDX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARDX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARDX)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ARDX vs. COLL, HELP, ANNX, AVBP)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) ranks #816 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #391 by equity capitalization ($772.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COLL leads on earnings valuation at 12.4x trailing P/E, while COLL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 59.3% gross margin. COLL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ARDX at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARDX ACTIVE
Ardelyx Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” 90.3% -32.7% 0.00% $772.5M Benchmark Subject
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc.
B 72/100 12.4x 59.3% 85.0% +3.44% $782.3M /coll-vs-ardx β†’
HELP
Helus Pharma Inc.
D 49/100 β€” β€” β€” -1.83% $782.5M /help-vs-ardx β†’
ANNX
Annexon Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -0.74% $760.2M /annx-vs-ardx β†’
AVBP
ArriVent BioPharma Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +1.40% $786.5M /avbp-vs-ardx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001437402

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) reported GAAP revenue of $407.3M (+22.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $333.6M , and +227.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$62.0M, operating cash flow of -$42.5M, and free cash flow of -$44.0M (+4.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARDX closed FY2025 with $501.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $407.3M -$62.0M -$42.5M -$44.0M $501.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $333.6M -$39.0M -$44.8M -$45.8M $435.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $124.5M -$66.0M -$89.7M -$89.7M β€” β€”

3. ARDX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ardelyx Inc. (NASDAQ: ARDX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $3.10 (0.00% 1D, market cap $772.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ARDX ranks #816 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARDX compare to COLL and HELP in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ARDX carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 90.3%, and ROIC of -32.7%. By comparison, COLL (Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 12.4x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $782.3M) and HELP (Helus Pharma Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $782.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, COLL leads on earnings multiple (12.4x) while COLL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARDX?

Per ARDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001437402), Ardelyx Inc. generated $407.3M in revenue (+22.1% YoY), -$62.0M in net income, and -$44.0M in free cash flow against $501.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARDX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARDX last traded at $3.10 (0.00% on volume of 2,550,094 shares), positioning the stock -9.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.43) and -41.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.33). Across its 52-week range of $2.96 to $8.40, ARDX sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.1% ($2.82 to $3.38).

ARDX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are ARDX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ARDX leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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