Stock Ratings / Health Care / ARDX / dividends

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Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

Q: Where is ARDX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARDX last traded at $3.10 (0.00% on volume of 2,550,094 shares), positioning the stock -9.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.41) and -41.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.32). Across its 52-week range of $2.95 to $8.40, ARDX sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($2.83 to $3.37).

Q: Does ARDX pay a dividend and is it safe?

Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

$3.10 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.09

Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $772.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARDX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Ardelyx Inc. (NASDAQ: ARDX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $3.10 (0.00% 1D, market cap $772.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ARDX ranks #953 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARDX compare to COLL and HELP in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ARDX carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 90.3%, and ROIC of -32.7%. By comparison, COLL (Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 12.4x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $782.3M) and HELP (Helus Pharma Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $782.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, COLL leads on earnings multiple (12.4x) while COLL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARDX?

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Per ARDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001437402), Ardelyx Inc. generated $407.3M in revenue (+22.1% YoY), -$62.0M in net income, and -$44.0M in free cash flow against $501.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.09 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARDX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ARDX SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 90.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.23-4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.09-2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.00+3.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$3.10-10.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARDX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARDX currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.41) and Max Pain ($3.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.82.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARDX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ARDX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 24%NO 76%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (12.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $33,350

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $200/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.3K

Yr 1

$12.7K

Yr 2

$14.4K

Yr 3

$16.2K

Yr 4

$18.3K

Yr 5

$20.6K

Yr 6

$23.2K

Yr 7

$26.2K

Yr 8

$29.6K

Yr 9

$33.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARDX)

✓Walkthrough of ARDX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ARDX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -57.53%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $3.10H $3.10L $3.10C $3.10VOL 2.55M

SUP: $2.67SMA50: $3.41SMA200: $5.32

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARDX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARDX Butterfly Map → + Track ARDX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARDX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARDX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARDX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARDX)

Health Care Rank #953 of 1016 ⚔️ COLL vs ARDX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ARDX vs. COLL, HELP, ANNX, AVBP)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) ranks #953 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #391 by equity capitalization ($772.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COLL leads on earnings valuation at 12.4x trailing P/E, while COLL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 59.3% gross margin. COLL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with ARDX at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ARDX ACTIVE Ardelyx Inc.	E	24/100	—	90.3%	-32.7%	0.00%	$772.5M	Benchmark Subject
COLL Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc.	C-	59/100	12.4x	59.3%	85.0%	+3.44%	$782.3M	/coll-vs-ardx →
HELP Helus Pharma Inc.	D+	54/100	—	—	—	-1.83%	$782.5M	/help-vs-ardx →
ANNX Annexon Inc.	E	30/100	—	—	-35.0%	-0.74%	$760.2M	/annx-vs-ardx →
AVBP ArriVent BioPharma Inc.	E	29/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.40%	$786.5M	/avbp-vs-ardx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001437402

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) reported GAAP revenue of $407.3M (+22.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $333.6M , and +227.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$62.0M, operating cash flow of -$42.5M, and free cash flow of -$44.0M (+4.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARDX closed FY2025 with $501.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$407.3M	-$62.0M	-$42.5M	-$44.0M	$501.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$333.6M	-$39.0M	-$44.8M	-$45.8M	$435.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$124.5M	-$66.0M	-$89.7M	-$89.7M	—	—

3. ARDX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ARDX compare to COLL and HELP in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARDX?

Where is ARDX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARDX last traded at $3.10 (0.00% on volume of 2,550,094 shares), positioning the stock -9.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.41) and -41.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.32). Across its 52-week range of $2.95 to $8.40, ARDX sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($2.83 to $3.37).

ARDX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ARDX pay a dividend and is it safe?

Ardelyx Inc. (ARDX) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARDX RQD Cockpit ARDX 12M Forecast ARDX Earnings & Move ARDX Dividends & DRIP ARDX Insiders & 13F ARDX Whale Options ARDX Profit Sankey ARDX News & Why