Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / APOG / financials

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Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$45.80 +2.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.11

Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $957.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.11 (+0.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 6.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APOG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY APOG SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 75% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($95.2M FCF) & 22.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$40.59+1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$41.38+5.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$43.63+5% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$45.80+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APOG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, APOG faces multiple-compression risk if 17.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($39.75) or 200D SMA ($38.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.27) toward Bear Floor ($37.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APOG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “APOG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How APOG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$95.2M (6.8% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.42B

FY24

Rev $1.36B

FY25

Rev $1.40B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.40B	22.7%	6%	$54.1M	$95.2M	9.2%
FY 2024	$1.36B	26.4%	8.7%	$85.1M	$89.6M	12.4%
FY 2023	$1.42B	22.7%	9.4%	$99.6M	$204.2M	9.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring APOG)

✓Walkthrough of APOG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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APOG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.82%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $45.69H $46.02L $45.05C $45.80VOL 305.9K

RES: $42.38SUP: $33.49SMA50: $39.75SMA200: $38.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APOG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 APOG Butterfly Map → + Track APOG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APOG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APOG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APOG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APOG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #178 of 1011 ⚔️ SMP vs APOG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (APOG vs. SMP, DCH, AEVA, ADNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) ranks #178 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #513 by equity capitalization ($957.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
APOG ACTIVE Apogee Enterprises Inc.	B-	70/100	17.7x	22.7%	9.2%	+2.39%	$957.0M	Benchmark Subject
SMP Standard Motor Products Inc.	C	65/100	20.2x	31.2%	8.6%	+0.98%	$854.5M	/smp-vs-apog →
DCH Dauch Corporation	D-	40/100	—	12.1%	2.2%	+1.84%	$1.19B	/dch-vs-apog →
AEVA Aeva Technologies Inc.	E	23/100	—	-3.7%	-35.0%	-7.02%	$692.9M	/aeva-vs-apog →
ADNT Adient plc	D	50/100	—	6.6%	-16.2%	+0.52%	$1.34B	/adnt-vs-apog →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0000006845

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.40B (+3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $54.1M, operating cash flow of $122.5M, and free cash flow of $95.2M (+6.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, APOG closed FY2025 with $1.12B in total assets against $255.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-02-28	$1.40B	$54.1M	$122.5M	$95.2M	$1.12B	$255.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-01	$1.36B	$85.1M	$125.2M	$89.6M	$1.18B	$272.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-02	$1.42B	$99.6M	$204.2M	$204.2M	—	—

3. APOG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APOG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Apogee Enterprises Inc. (NASDAQ: APOG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $45.80 (+2.39% 1D, market cap $957.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APOG ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APOG compare to SMP and DCH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APOG carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.7x, gross margin of 22.7%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $854.5M) and DCH (Dauch Corporation) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APOG?

Per APOG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000006845), Apogee Enterprises Inc. generated $1.40B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $54.1M in net income, and $95.2M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $255.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APOG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APOG last traded at $45.80 (+2.39% on volume of 278,858 shares), positioning the stock +15.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($39.75) and +18.65% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.60). Across its 52-week range of $30.75 to $50.88, APOG sits at the 74.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($41.86 to $49.74).

APOG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), APOG converted $1.4B of revenue into a 22.7% gross margin, 6% operating margin, and $95.2M in free cash flow (6.8% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: APOG RQD Cockpit APOG 12M Forecast APOG Earnings & Move APOG Dividends & DRIP APOG Insiders & 13F APOG Whale Options APOG Profit Sankey APOG News & Why