Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / APOG / earnings

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Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.6% Move

$45.80 +2.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.11

Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $957.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.11 (+0.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 6.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APOG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY APOG SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 75% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($95.2M FCF) & 22.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$40.59+1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$41.38+5.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$43.63+5% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$45.80+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APOG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, APOG faces multiple-compression risk if 17.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($39.75) or 200D SMA ($38.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.27) toward Bear Floor ($37.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APOG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “APOG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Nov 28, 2026 (~26 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.6% Swing Band

±$3.94 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

APOG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $2.59 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.2%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-02-28	$1.40B	$54.1M	$95.2M	22.7%
FY 2024	2025-03-01	$1.36B	$85.1M	$89.6M	26.4%
FY 2023	2024-03-02	$1.42B	$99.6M	$204.2M	22.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating APOG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on APOG
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

APOG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.82%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $45.69H $46.02L $45.05C $45.80VOL 305.9K

RES: $42.38SUP: $33.49SMA50: $39.75SMA200: $38.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APOG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 APOG Butterfly Map → + Track APOG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APOG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APOG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APOG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APOG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #178 of 1011 ⚔️ SMP vs APOG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (APOG vs. SMP, DCH, AEVA, ADNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) ranks #178 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #513 by equity capitalization ($957.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
APOG ACTIVE Apogee Enterprises Inc.	B-	70/100	17.7x	22.7%	9.2%	+2.39%	$957.0M	Benchmark Subject
SMP Standard Motor Products Inc.	C	65/100	20.2x	31.2%	8.6%	+0.98%	$854.5M	/smp-vs-apog →
DCH Dauch Corporation	D-	40/100	—	12.1%	2.2%	+1.84%	$1.19B	/dch-vs-apog →
AEVA Aeva Technologies Inc.	E	23/100	—	-3.7%	-35.0%	-7.02%	$692.9M	/aeva-vs-apog →
ADNT Adient plc	D	50/100	—	6.6%	-16.2%	+0.52%	$1.34B	/adnt-vs-apog →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0000006845

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.40B (+3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $54.1M, operating cash flow of $122.5M, and free cash flow of $95.2M (+6.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, APOG closed FY2025 with $1.12B in total assets against $255.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-02-28	$1.40B	$54.1M	$122.5M	$95.2M	$1.12B	$255.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-01	$1.36B	$85.1M	$125.2M	$89.6M	$1.18B	$272.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-02	$1.42B	$99.6M	$204.2M	$204.2M	—	—

3. APOG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APOG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Apogee Enterprises Inc. (NASDAQ: APOG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $45.80 (+2.39% 1D, market cap $957.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APOG ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APOG compare to SMP and DCH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APOG carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.7x, gross margin of 22.7%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $854.5M) and DCH (Dauch Corporation) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APOG?

Per APOG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000006845), Apogee Enterprises Inc. generated $1.40B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $54.1M in net income, and $95.2M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $255.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APOG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APOG last traded at $45.80 (+2.39% on volume of 278,858 shares), positioning the stock +15.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($39.75) and +18.65% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.60). Across its 52-week range of $30.75 to $50.88, APOG sits at the 74.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($41.86 to $49.74).

APOG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is APOG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Nov 28, 2026.

How much is APOG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.6% event move for APOG, spanning a range between $41.86 and $49.74.

Direct Sub-Reports: APOG RQD Cockpit APOG 12M Forecast APOG Earnings & Move APOG Dividends & DRIP APOG Insiders & 13F APOG Whale Options APOG Profit Sankey APOG News & Why