Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / AGCC / forecast

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Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$15.24 +5.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.37

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $872.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.37 (+0.84%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGCC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AGCC SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$15.44+3.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$16.01-5.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$15.10+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$15.24-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AGCC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AGCC currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.59) and Max Pain ($16.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.02.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGCC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AGCC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AGCC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $15.24: 656.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $11.35

$7,448

$-2,552 (-25.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $14.55

$9,547

$-453 (-4.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $27.02

$17,730

+$7,730 (+77.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$15	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$25	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$13	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGCC)

✓Walkthrough of AGCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AGCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $15.03H $15.24L $14.81C $15.24VOL 1.0K

RES: $17.95SUP: $10.20SMA50: $14.59SMA200: $14.90

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AGCC Butterfly Map → + Track AGCC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +144.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGCC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGCC)

Consumer Staples Rank #97 of 146 ⚔️ WEST vs AGCC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (AGCC vs. WEST, SUJA, CCU, SAM)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #77 by equity capitalization ($872.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAM leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while SAM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and 48.5% gross margin. SAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with AGCC at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AGCC ACTIVE Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A)	D	48/100	—	30.4%	1.4%	+5.73%	$872.8M	Benchmark Subject
WEST Westrock Coffee Company	D-	37/100	—	12.7%	-11.8%	+2.79%	$994.2M	/west-vs-agcc →
SUJA Suja Life Inc. (Class A)	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+5.70%	$415.2M	/suja-vs-agcc →
CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.88%	$1.93B	/ccu-vs-agcc →
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	48.5%	18.4%	+0.13%	$2.01B	/sam-vs-agcc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002060016

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.2M (+144.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.5M , and +599.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $609.4K, operating cash flow of -$7.5M, and free cash flow of -$7.5M (-3066.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGCC closed FY2025 with $28.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$6.2M	$609.4K	-$7.5M	-$7.5M	$28.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.5M	$779.3K	-$236.8K	-$236.8K	$3.9M	$17.7K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$887.3K	$239.3K	-$274.5K	-$274.5K	—	—

3. AGCC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (NASDAQ: AGCC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $15.24 (+5.73% 1D, market cap $872.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, AGCC ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGCC compare to WEST and SUJA in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), AGCC carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 1.4%. By comparison, WEST (Westrock Coffee Company) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.8%, cap $994.2M) and SUJA (Suja Life Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $415.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAM leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while SAM leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCC?

Per AGCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002060016), Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) generated $6.2M in revenue (+144.6% YoY), $609.4K in net income, and -$7.5M in free cash flow against $28.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGCC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGCC last traded at $15.24 (+5.73% on volume of 2,082 shares), positioning the stock +4.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.59) and +2.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.90). Across its 52-week range of $4.72 to $25.73, AGCC sits at the 50.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($13.46 to $17.02).

AGCC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AGCC's 12-month stock price target?

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $14.55 (-4.5% from $15.24), with a bull-case target of $27.02 and a bear-case floor of $11.35.

Is AGCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AGCC D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 48/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AGCC RQD Cockpit AGCC 12M Forecast AGCC Earnings & Move AGCC Dividends & DRIP AGCC Insiders & 13F AGCC Whale Options AGCC Profit Sankey AGCC News & Why