Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / AGCC / earnings

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Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.7% Move

$15.24 +5.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.37

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $872.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AGCC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AGCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (NASDAQ: AGCC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $15.24 (+5.73% 1D, market cap $872.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, AGCC ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AGCC compare to WEST and SUJA in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), AGCC carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 1.4%. By comparison, WEST (Westrock Coffee Company) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.8%, cap $994.2M) and SUJA (Suja Life Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $415.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAM leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while SAM leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCC?

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Per AGCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002060016), Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) generated $6.2M in revenue (+144.6% YoY), $609.4K in net income, and -$7.5M in free cash flow against $28.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.37 (+0.84%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGCC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AGCC SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$15.44+3.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$16.01-5.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$15.10+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$15.24-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AGCC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AGCC currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.59) and Max Pain ($16.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.02.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGCC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AGCC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.7% Swing Band

±$1.78 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AGCC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 144.6%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$6.2M	$609.4K	-$7.5M	30.4%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.5M	$779.3K	-$236.8K	49.9%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$887.3K	$239.3K	-$274.5K	30.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGCC)

✓Walkthrough of AGCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AGCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $15.03H $15.24L $14.81C $15.24VOL 1.0K

RES: $17.95SUP: $10.20SMA50: $14.59SMA200: $14.90

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AGCC Butterfly Map → + Track AGCC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +144.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGCC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGCC)

Consumer Staples Rank #97 of 146 ⚔️ WEST vs AGCC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (AGCC vs. WEST, SUJA, CCU, SAM)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #77 by equity capitalization ($872.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAM leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while SAM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and 48.5% gross margin. SAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with AGCC at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AGCC ACTIVE Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A)	D	48/100	—	30.4%	1.4%	+5.73%	$872.8M	Benchmark Subject
WEST Westrock Coffee Company	D-	37/100	—	12.7%	-11.8%	+2.79%	$994.2M	/west-vs-agcc →
SUJA Suja Life Inc. (Class A)	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+5.70%	$415.2M	/suja-vs-agcc →
CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.88%	$1.93B	/ccu-vs-agcc →
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	48.5%	18.4%	+0.13%	$2.01B	/sam-vs-agcc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002060016

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.2M (+144.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.5M , and +599.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $609.4K, operating cash flow of -$7.5M, and free cash flow of -$7.5M (-3066.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGCC closed FY2025 with $28.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$6.2M	$609.4K	-$7.5M	-$7.5M	$28.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.5M	$779.3K	-$236.8K	-$236.8K	$3.9M	$17.7K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$887.3K	$239.3K	-$274.5K	-$274.5K	—	—

3. AGCC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AGCC compare to WEST and SUJA in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCC?

Where is AGCC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGCC last traded at $15.24 (+5.73% on volume of 2,082 shares), positioning the stock +4.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.59) and +2.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.90). Across its 52-week range of $4.72 to $25.73, AGCC sits at the 50.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($13.46 to $17.02).

AGCC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AGCC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AGCC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.7% event move for AGCC, spanning a range between $13.46 and $17.02.

Direct Sub-Reports: AGCC RQD Cockpit AGCC 12M Forecast AGCC Earnings & Move AGCC Dividends & DRIP AGCC Insiders & 13F AGCC Whale Options AGCC Profit Sankey AGCC News & Why