MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Shares of broader software stocks are trading lower amid broader market weakness as Treasury yields rise, weighing on tech stocks.Why ADTN Stock slipped -0.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.94 -0.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
ADTRAN Holdings Inc. (ADTN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $565.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADTN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ADTN Stock slipped -0.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ADTRAN Holdings Inc. (ADTN) slipped -0.29% to $6.94, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($6.29 – $19.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($6.29 – $19.98) with RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.4% around $6.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 38.3% gross margin and $98.0M annual free cash flow.
Live ADTN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. Appoints Dr. Christian H. Terlinde to Board of DirectorsHUNTSVILLE, Ala., October 29, 2026--ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADTN and FSE: QH9) ("ADTRAN Holdings" or the "Company"), a leading global provider of networking and communications solutions, today announced the appoin
RISK WATCHYahoo • 5d ago
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MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
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Should You Buy The Dip In Lumentum Stock?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 13d ago
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. to release third quarter 2026 financial results on November 2, 2026HUNTSVILLE, Ala., October 19, 2026--ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: ADTN and FSE: QH9) ("ADTRAN Holdings" or the "Company") announced today that the Company will release its financial results for the third quarter 2026 af
RISK WATCHYahoo • 13d ago
Why Did Lumentum Stock Fall?Shares of Lumentum (LITE) fell 25.3% in the five trading sessions from October 9 to October 16, 2026. The S&P 500 lost 1.9% over the same stretch. Although the company's chief executive stated on Friday, October 9, that
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADTN)
- ✓Walkthrough of ADTN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ADTN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.77%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $6.67H $6.94L $6.35C $6.94VOL 1.17M
RES: $7.52SUP: $6.06SMA50: $7.13SMA200: $11.13
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ADTN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +17.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADTN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADTN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADTN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADTN)
Utilities Rank #75 of 117
⚔️ NTGR vs ADTN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (ADTN vs. NTGR, CLFD, AUDC, FKWL)
Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ADTRAN Holdings Inc. (ADTN) ranks #75 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #86 by equity capitalization ($565.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AUDC leads on earnings valuation at 31.8x trailing P/E, while AUDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and 65.0% gross margin. AUDC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with ADTN at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADTN
ACTIVE
ADTRAN Holdings Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | 38.3% | -2.9% | -0.29% | $565.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| NTGR NETGEAR Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | 38.0% | -9.4% | +0.30% | $640.3M | /ntgr-vs-adtn → |
| CLFD Clearfield Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | 33.7% | 0.7% | +4.10% | $451.8M | /clfd-vs-adtn → |
| AUDC AudioCodes Ltd. | C | 62/100 | 31.8x | 65.0% | 8.8% | -0.69% | $284.8M | /audc-vs-adtn → |
| FKWL Franklin Wireless Corp. | D | 48/100 | — | 17.2% | -6.4% | 0.00% | $25.8M | /fkwl-vs-adtn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000926282In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ADTRAN Holdings Inc. (ADTN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.08B (+17.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $922.7M , and -5.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$45.7M, operating cash flow of $129.8M, and free cash flow of $98.0M (+41.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADTN closed FY2025 with $1.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.78, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.08B | -$45.7M | $129.8M | $98.0M | $1.20B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $922.7M | -$459.9M | $103.6M | $69.1M | $1.17B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.15B | -$268.9M | -$43.0M | -$43.0M | — | — |
3. ADTN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ADTN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, ADTRAN Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ADTN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $6.94 (-0.29% 1D, market cap $565.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, ADTN ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ADTN compare to NTGR and CLFD in the Utilities sector?
Within the Utilities sector (Telecommunications Equipment), ADTN carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 38.3%, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, NTGR (NETGEAR Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.4%, cap $640.3M) and CLFD (Clearfield Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $451.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUDC leads on earnings multiple (31.8x) while AUDC leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADTN?
Per ADTN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000926282), ADTRAN Holdings Inc. generated $1.08B in revenue (+17.5% YoY), -$45.7M in net income, and $98.0M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ADTN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ADTN last traded at $6.94 (-0.29% on volume of 1,144,151 shares), positioning the stock -2.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.13) and -37.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.13). Across its 52-week range of $6.29 to $19.98, ADTN sits at the 4.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($6.29 to $7.59).
ADTN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ADTN stock moving today?
Why ADTN Stock slipped -0.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.