Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Arbor Realty Trust (NYSE: ABR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $3.02 (+2.37% 1D, market cap $563.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ABR ranks #951 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ABR carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, IVR (INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 12.7%, cap $593.5M) and UHT (Universal Health Realty Income Trust) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 29.9x, ROIC 18.8%, cap $526.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IVR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while UHT leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).
Per ABR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001253986), Arbor Realty Trust generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $372.4M in free cash flow against $14.49B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.3% FCF Margin ($372.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
While ABR currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.89) and Max Pain ($3.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.73.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) surged +2.37% to $3.02, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($2.01 – $11.17). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Arbor Realty Trust Inc (ABR) posted $0.08 per share in distributable earnings while suspending its common dividend and targeting $700 million in cash by the end of Q1 2027.
Arbor Realty Trust just got hit. The stock closed at US$3.02 before the Q3 2026 release and now trades near US$2.14, a single session drop of roughly 29% that wipes away months of value in a day. The headline is not reve
The Fed held rates steady following September's hike, with two dissenters favoring another increase. Check out the market update here.
Shares of real estate investment trust Arbor Realty Trust (NYSE:ABR) fell 27.3% in the afternoon session after the company reported a GAAP net loss for the third quarter of 2026, missed estimates for revenue, net interes
Management suspended dividend to preserve $125M annually amid rising delinquencies.
Moby summary of Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
Arbor Realty Trust (NYSE:ABR) said third-quarter earnings were pressured by higher interest rates, rising delinquencies and slower asset resolutions, prompting the company to suspend its quarterly common dividend as it b
October 30, 2026 gap list shows sharp opening gaps and session moves for gap-up stocks such as GDYN and gap-down stocks such as ATEC.
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (ABR) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 30, 2026 10:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsPaul Elenio - Executive VP & CFOIvan Kaufman -...
The mortgage REIT lost $85.4M in the third quarter, widening losses this year as debt costs squeeze borrowers.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) ranks #951 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #678 by equity capitalization ($563.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IVR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while UHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and — gross margin. UHT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ABR at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABR
ACTIVE
Arbor Realty Trust | D- | 38/100 | — | — | 5.6% | +2.37% | $563.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| IVR INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC | D | 46/100 | 5.9x | — | 12.7% | -0.18% | $593.5M | /ivr-vs-abr → |
| UHT Universal Health Realty Income Trust | C- | 61/100 | 29.9x | — | 18.8% | +3.02% | $526.3M | /uht-vs-abr → |
| BDN Brandywine Realty Trust | D | 51/100 | — | — | 2.8% | +3.43% | $513.5M | /bdn-vs-abr → |
| PMT PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust of | E | 34/100 | 7.5x | — | 4.6% | +1.51% | $643.6M | /pmt-vs-abr → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $372.4M, and free cash flow of $372.4M (-19.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABR closed FY2025 with $14.49B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | $372.4M | $372.4M | $14.49B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $0 | $461.5M | $461.5M | $13.49B | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Arbor Realty Trust (NYSE: ABR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $3.02 (+2.37% 1D, market cap $563.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ABR ranks #951 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ABR carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, IVR (INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 12.7%, cap $593.5M) and UHT (Universal Health Realty Income Trust) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 29.9x, ROIC 18.8%, cap $526.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IVR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while UHT leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).
Per ABR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001253986), Arbor Realty Trust generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $372.4M in free cash flow against $14.49B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ABR last traded at $3.02 (+2.37% on volume of 8,439,624 shares), positioning the stock -22.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.89) and -48.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.91). Across its 52-week range of $2.01 to $11.17, ABR sits at the 11.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.64 to $3.40).
Why ABR Stock surged +2.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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