Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / STRT

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STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$62.73 -2.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.32

STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $256.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on STRT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (NASDAQ: STRT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $62.73 (-2.56% 1D, market cap $256.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRT ranks #442 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STRT compare to HLLY and MPAA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), STRT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.5x, gross margin of 16.5%, and ROIC of 15.2%. By comparison, HLLY (Holley Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $322.5M) and MPAA (Motorcar Parts of America Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 21.6%, cap $195.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while CPS leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRT?

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Per STRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28, CIK 0000933034), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION generated $579.4M in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $20.6M in net income, and $39.0M in free cash flow against $392.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.32 (-0.65%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STRT SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$63.36-4.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$60.39+3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$62.51+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$62.73-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STRT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, STRT faces multiple-compression risk if 12.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.08) or 200D SMA ($76.80) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($62.17) toward Bear Floor ($48.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

50.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.45>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE16% OF RANGE

L: $57$62.73H: $93

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (17% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on STRT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

15.2% ROIC with 16.5% gross margin and 15.19% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 4.45 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like STRT

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STRT)

✓Walkthrough of STRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

STRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.84%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $63.98H $64.38L $62.73C $62.73VOL 57.5K

RES: $106.9SUP: $58.13SMA50: $67.08SMA200: $76.80

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STRT Butterfly Map → + Track STRT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

3.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #442 of 1011 ⚔️ HLLY vs STRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (STRT vs. HLLY, MPAA, CPS, SRI)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) ranks #442 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #664 by equity capitalization ($256.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while CPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 11.9% gross margin. STRT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STRT ACTIVE STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION	D+	56/100	12.5x	16.5%	15.2%	-2.56%	$256.6M	Benchmark Subject
HLLY Holley Inc.	D+	52/100	16.8x	43.4%	7.0%	-1.13%	$322.5M	/hlly-vs-strt →
MPAA Motorcar Parts of America Inc.	D+	56/100	16.3x	20.2%	21.6%	+0.10%	$195.0M	/mpaa-vs-strt →
CPS Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.	D	44/100	—	11.9%	85.0%	-3.56%	$369.8M	/cps-vs-strt →
SRI Stoneridge Inc.	D-	43/100	—	19.9%	-24.1%	-6.88%	$174.0M	/sri-vs-strt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-28 • CIK 0000933034

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-28), STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) reported GAAP revenue of $579.4M (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $565.1M , and +17.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.6M, operating cash flow of $46.3M, and free cash flow of $39.0M (-39.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRT closed FY2025 with $392.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.45, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-28	$579.4M	$20.6M	$46.3M	$39.0M	$392.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-29	$565.1M	$18.7M	$71.7M	$64.5M	$355.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-07-02	$492.9M	-$6.7M	$10.1M	$10.1M	—	—

3. STRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does STRT compare to HLLY and MPAA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRT?

Where is STRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRT last traded at $62.73 (-2.56% on volume of 138,041 shares), positioning the stock -6.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.08) and -18.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.80). Across its 52-week range of $57.01 to $93.00, STRT sits at the 15.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($58.53 to $66.93).

STRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell STRT stock right now?

STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION (STRT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 13x P/E (15% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is STRT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

STRT's 12-month base price target is $62.17 (range $48.49 to $97.65), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: STRT RQD Cockpit STRT 12M Forecast STRT Earnings & Move STRT Dividends & DRIP STRT Insiders & 13F STRT Whale Options STRT Profit Sankey STRT News & Why