Grindr Inc. (GRND) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$12.65 -1.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.58

Grindr Inc. (GRND) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.24B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GRND Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GRND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Grindr Inc. (NYSE: GRND) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $12.65 (-1.94% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GRND ranks #167 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GRND compare to DV and CSQR in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), GRND carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.7%. By comparison, DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B) and CSQR (Csquare Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRND?
▼

Per GRND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001820144), Grindr Inc. generated $439.9M in revenue (+27.6% YoY), $94.8M in net income, and $140.8M in free cash flow against $531.0M in total assets and $375.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.58 (-0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 32% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (19)Whales (5)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$19 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE GRND RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GRND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GRND SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 32% FCF Margin ($140.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$15.11-6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$14.11-7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$13.12-3.6% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$12.65+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GRND Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, GRND faces multiple-compression risk if 23.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.83) or 200D SMA ($13.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.05) toward Bear Floor ($10.18).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GRND• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GRND Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
35.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.32>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE33% OF RANGE
L: $10$12.65H: $19
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A+RQD 19 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on GRND

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (95)

29.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.28% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 4.32 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (53)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GRND
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GRND Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GRND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $12.97H $12.97L $12.65C $12.65VOL 2.69M
RES: $15.24SUP: $12.51SMA50: $14.83SMA200: $13.63
$19.07$16.70$14.32$11.94$9.56RES $15.24SUP $12.51$12.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GRND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +27.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GRND today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GRND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GRND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GRND)

Technology Rank #167 of 714 ⚔️ DV vs GRND Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GRND vs. DV, CSQR, PPLI, RUM)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grindr Inc. (GRND) ranks #167 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #283 by equity capitalization ($2.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRND leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while GRND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.7% ROIC and — gross margin. DV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with GRND at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GRND ACTIVE
Grindr Inc.
C 65/100 23.7x — 29.7% -1.94% $2.24B Benchmark Subject
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.
B+ 79/100 41.5x 82.2% 7.2% -0.07% $2.10B /dv-vs-grnd →
CSQR
Csquare Inc.
D- 42/100 — — — -11.10% $2.49B /csqr-vs-grnd →
PPLI
People Incorporated
E 32/100 — 66.2% -1.5% -0.72% $2.67B /ppli-vs-grnd →
RUM
RUM Group Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 — -6.7% -35.0% -5.00% $2.78B /rum-vs-grnd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001820144

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Grindr Inc. (GRND) reported GAAP revenue of $439.9M (+27.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $344.6M , and +69.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $94.8M, operating cash flow of $141.5M, and free cash flow of $140.8M (+49.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GRND closed FY2025 with $531.0M in total assets against $375.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.32, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $439.9M $94.8M $141.5M $140.8M $531.0M $375.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $344.6M -$131.0M $95.0M $94.0M $479.1M $275.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $259.7M -$55.8M $36.1M $36.1M — —

3. GRND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GRND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Grindr Inc. (NYSE: GRND) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $12.65 (-1.94% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GRND ranks #167 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GRND compare to DV and CSQR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), GRND carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.7%. By comparison, DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B) and CSQR (Csquare Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GRND?

Per GRND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001820144), Grindr Inc. generated $439.9M in revenue (+27.6% YoY), $94.8M in net income, and $140.8M in free cash flow against $531.0M in total assets and $375.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GRND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GRND last traded at $12.65 (-1.94% on volume of 1,308,613 shares), positioning the stock -14.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.83) and -7.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.63). Across its 52-week range of $9.73 to $18.50, GRND sits at the 33.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($11.51 to $13.79).

GRND Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GRND stock right now?

Grindr Inc. (GRND) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (30% return on capital), mixed timing at 24x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is GRND's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GRND's 12-month base price target is $13.05 (range $10.18 to $19.43), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GRND — Grindr Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: Haiku 5.5 Dossier Pipeline
As of: 2026-11-02T14:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, Grindr Inc. (GRND) carries a composite score of 65/100 (C — Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) at a current price of $12.65 (-1.94%). Fundamental cash generation scores 19/20 (ROIC 29.7%, FCF yield 6.28%), institutional 13F whale accumulation scores 5/20, insider conviction scores 19/20, macro regime alignment scores 8/20 (Beta 1.00), and forensic balance-sheet protection scores 14/20 (Altman Z-Score 4.32, Piotroski F-Score 8/9).

Investor Implication: At 23.7x trailing P/E and 19.9x forward P/E within Computer Software: Programming Data Processing, upside depends on sustained operating margin expansion (28.7%) and free cash flow conversion relative to the 52-week range of $9.73 – $18.50.

Butterfly Effect: Supply-Chain, Sector & Catalyst Ripples

Operating in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (Technology), GRND is sensitive to 2nd-order capital expenditure cycles, input cost spreads (gross margin —), and institutional positioning across its peer cohort. Prospective investors should monitor quarterly order backlog conversion, sector capex guidance, and Form 4 insider cluster activity (0 recent filings tracked).

Open Questions to Watch: (1) Margin trajectory vs. peer median; (2) FCF conversion sustainability over the next 4 quarters; (3) Institutional 13F rebalancing around upcoming earnings.

GRND Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Grindr Inc. (GRND) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GRND Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GRND Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.65?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GRND 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GRND:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $13.93 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GRND (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $12.90?

Welcome to the GRND (Grindr Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.80 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $12.90

Pump the brakes on GRND — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GRND, but look at what you are paying: 23.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Grindr Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.09 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $12.90

GRND cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GRND, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.90 (52-wk range $9.73 - $18.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%