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California Water Service Group (CWT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$47.62 +1.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.62

California Water Service Group (CWT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.94B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.62 (-0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 31.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CWT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CWT SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.4% FCF Margin ($302.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 51% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$45.94+0.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$46.35+3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$48.04-0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$47.62+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CWT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, CWT faces multiple-compression risk if 23.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($47.61) or 200D SMA ($46.64) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($49.55) toward Bear Floor ($38.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CWT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CWT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

61.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE51% OF RANGE

L: $41$47.62H: $54

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CWT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 10.27% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (65)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CWT

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CWT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CWT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.74%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $48.30H $48.64L $47.41C $47.62VOL 603.5K

RES: $51.08SUP: $43.08SMA50: $47.61SMA200: $46.64

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CWT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CWT Butterfly Map → + Track CWT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CWT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CWT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CWT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CWT)

Utilities Rank #16 of 117 ⚔️ HTO vs CWT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CWT vs. HTO, AWR, MSEX, WTRG)

Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, California Water Service Group (CWT) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #69 by equity capitalization ($2.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WTRG leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while WTRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CWT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CWT ACTIVE California Water Service Group	C+	67/100	23.0x	—	—	+1.00%	$2.94B	Benchmark Subject
HTO H2O America	C-	60/100	27.6x	—	4.1%	-5.23%	$2.83B	/hto-vs-cwt →
AWR American States Water Company	C	63/100	25.9x	90.8%	8.9%	+1.08%	$3.38B	/awr-vs-cwt →
MSEX Middlesex Water Company	C+	67/100	—	—	4.9%	-0.05%	$1.04B	/msex-vs-cwt →
WTRG Essential Utilities Inc.	D+	55/100	10.9x	—	9.9%	+1.21%	$12.14B	/wtrg-vs-cwt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001035201

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), California Water Service Group (CWT) reported GAAP revenue of $963.7M (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $905.6M , and +21.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $127.8M, operating cash flow of $302.6M, and free cash flow of $302.6M (+4.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CWT closed FY2025 with $5.67B in total assets against $1.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$963.7M	$127.8M	$302.6M	$302.6M	$5.67B	$1.47B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$905.6M	$190.8M	$290.9M	$290.9M	$5.18B	$1.10B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$790.3M	$51.9M	$217.8M	$217.8M	—	—

3. CWT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CWT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, California Water Service Group (NYSE: CWT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $47.62 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $2.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CWT ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CWT compare to HTO and AWR in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), CWT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HTO (H2O America) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.83B) and AWR (American States Water Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 25.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $3.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WTRG leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while WTRG leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CWT?

Per CWT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001035201), California Water Service Group generated $963.7M in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $127.8M in net income, and $302.6M in free cash flow against $5.67B in total assets and $1.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CWT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CWT last traded at $47.62 (+1.00% on volume of 577,515 shares), positioning the stock +0.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.61) and +2.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.64). Across its 52-week range of $41.29 to $53.82, CWT sits at the 50.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($45.14 to $50.10).

CWT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CWT stock right now?

California Water Service Group (CWT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at 23x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is CWT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CWT's 12-month base price target is $49.55 (range $38.65 to $58.47), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CWT RQD Cockpit CWT 12M Forecast CWT Earnings & Move CWT Dividends & DRIP CWT Insiders & 13F CWT Whale Options CWT Profit Sankey CWT News & Why