Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CAAS

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China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.32 -2.04% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.30

China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $130.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.30 (-0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 9.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAAS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CAAS SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($74.4M FCF) & 19% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.32 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$4.48+0.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$4.51-4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$4.33-0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$4.32-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAAS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CAAS currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.85) and Max Pain ($4.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAAS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CAAS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

35.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.32>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE

L: $4$4.32H: $6

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (19% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CAAS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

16.3% ROIC with 19.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 1.32 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (45)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CAAS

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAAS)

✓Walkthrough of CAAS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CAAS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.48%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $4.34H $4.36L $4.30C $4.32VOL 17.1K

RES: $5.97SUP: $4.27SMA50: $4.85SMA200: $4.54

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAAS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CAAS Butterfly Map → + Track CAAS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAAS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAAS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAAS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAAS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #589 of 1011 ⚔️ CVGI vs CAAS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CAAS vs. CVGI, SRI, MPAA, STRT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) ranks #589 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #738 by equity capitalization ($130.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRT leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while MPAA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 20.2% gross margin. STRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CAAS at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CAAS ACTIVE China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share	D+	53/100	—	19.0%	16.3%	-2.04%	$130.3M	Benchmark Subject
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.	D-	41/100	—	10.5%	-0.2%	-1.22%	$131.2M	/cvgi-vs-caas →
SRI Stoneridge Inc.	D+	55/100	—	19.9%	-24.1%	+0.83%	$174.0M	/sri-vs-caas →
MPAA Motorcar Parts of America Inc.	C	64/100	16.3x	20.2%	21.6%	-3.29%	$195.0M	/mpaa-vs-caas →
STRT STRATTEC SECURITY CORPORATION	C+	67/100	12.5x	16.5%	15.2%	+0.63%	$256.6M	/strt-vs-caas →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002037400

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) reported GAAP revenue of $765.7M (+17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $650.9M , and +32.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.8M, operating cash flow of $111.6M, and free cash flow of $74.4M (+319.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAAS closed FY2025 with $1.00B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.32, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$765.7M	$42.8M	$111.6M	$74.4M	$1.00B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$650.9M	$30.0M	$9.8M	-$33.9M	$850.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$576.4M	$37.7M	$19.9M	$19.9M	—	—

3. CAAS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAAS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: CAAS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.32 (-2.04% 1D, market cap $130.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAAS ranks #589 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CAAS compare to CVGI and SRI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), CAAS carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.0%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, CVGI (Commercial Vehicle Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $131.2M) and SRI (Stoneridge Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.1%, cap $174.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRT leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while MPAA leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAAS?

Per CAAS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002037400), China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share generated $765.7M in revenue (+17.6% YoY), $42.8M in net income, and $74.4M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CAAS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAAS last traded at $4.32 (-2.04% on volume of 14,833 shares), positioning the stock -10.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.85) and -4.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.54). Across its 52-week range of $4.00 to $5.64, CAAS sits at the 19.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($4.03 to $4.61).

CAAS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CAAS stock right now?

China Automotive Systems Inc. Ordinary Share (CAAS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 53/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CAAS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CAAS's 12-month base price target is $4.22 (range $3.29 to $5.92), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CAAS RQD Cockpit CAAS 12M Forecast CAAS Earnings & Move CAAS Dividends & DRIP CAAS Insiders & 13F CAAS Whale Options CAAS Profit Sankey CAAS News & Why