Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$42.90 +0.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.83

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $743.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BWMN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BWMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: BWMN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $42.90 (+0.09% 1D, market cap $743.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BWMN ranks #305 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BWMN compare to BBSI and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BWMN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 57.8x, gross margin of 53.4%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, BBSI (Barrett Business Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 33.6%, cap $784.3M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWMN?
▼

Per BWMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847590), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. generated $490.0M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), $12.8M in net income, and $33.4M in free cash flow against $579.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.83 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (15)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$52 Bull$44 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE BWMN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BWMN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BWMN SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.33 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$42.80+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$42.79+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$42.84+0.1% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$42.90+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BWMN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, BWMN faces multiple-compression risk if 57.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 50.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.65) or 200D SMA ($34.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($43.67) toward Bear Floor ($34.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BWMN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BWMN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
71.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.33>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE89% OF RANGE
L: $25$42.90H: $45
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on BWMN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

6.2% ROIC with 53.4% gross margin and 4.50% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.33 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BWMN
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BWMN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BWMN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +32.12%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $42.86H $42.90L $42.86C $42.90VOL 198.7K
RES: $42.93SMA50: $42.65SMA200: $34.38
$44.39$39.16$33.92$28.68$23.44RES $42.93$42.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BWMN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
40.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BWMN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BWMN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BWMN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BWMN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #305 of 1011 ⚔️ BBSI vs BWMN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BWMN vs. BBSI, KELYB, KELYA, RMR)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) ranks #305 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #546 by equity capitalization ($743.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBSI leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while BBSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and 21.0% gross margin. BBSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with BWMN at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BWMN ACTIVE
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.
C 62/100 57.8x 53.4% 6.2% +0.09% $743.0M Benchmark Subject
BBSI
Barrett Business Services Inc.
C+ 68/100 14.4x 21.0% 33.6% +0.53% $784.3M /bbsi-vs-bwmn →
KELYB
Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)
C 62/100 — 20.1% -5.8% 0.00% $949.7M /kelyb-vs-bwmn →
KELYA
Kelly Services Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 — 20.1% -5.8% +2.03% $564.7M /kelya-vs-bwmn →
RMR
The RMR Group Inc. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 31.2x — 18.0% -2.57% $548.6M /rmr-vs-bwmn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847590

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) reported GAAP revenue of $490.0M (+14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $426.6M , and +41.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.8M, operating cash flow of $35.8M, and free cash flow of $33.4M (+41.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BWMN closed FY2025 with $579.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $490.0M $12.8M $35.8M $33.4M $579.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $426.6M $3.0M $24.3M $23.7M $505.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $346.3M -$6.6M $11.7M $11.7M — —

3. BWMN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BWMN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: BWMN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $42.90 (+0.09% 1D, market cap $743.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BWMN ranks #305 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BWMN compare to BBSI and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BWMN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 57.8x, gross margin of 53.4%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, BBSI (Barrett Business Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 33.6%, cap $784.3M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWMN?

Per BWMN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847590), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. generated $490.0M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), $12.8M in net income, and $33.4M in free cash flow against $579.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 58x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BWMN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BWMN last traded at $42.90 (+0.09% on volume of 312,517 shares), positioning the stock +0.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.65) and +24.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.38). Across its 52-week range of $25.07 to $45.00, BWMN sits at the 89.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($42.13 to $43.67).

BWMN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BWMN stock right now?

Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (BWMN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 53% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 58x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is BWMN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BWMN's 12-month base price target is $43.67 (range $34.06 to $51.53), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%