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BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.17 +1.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.21

BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (33% profit margin, 46% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.05B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BRBR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BRBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, BellRing Brands Inc. (NYSE: BRBR) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $9.17 (+1.21% 1D, market cap $1.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BRBR ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BRBR compare to SENEA and SENEB in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), BRBR carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.9x, gross margin of 33.3%, and ROIC of 46.3%. By comparison, SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B) and SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRBR leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while BRBR leads on capital efficiency (46.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRBR?

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Per BRBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001772016), BellRing Brands Inc. generated $2.32B in revenue (+16.1% YoY), $216.2M in net income, and $260.6M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $1.18B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (33% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.21 (+0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 11.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BRBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BRBR SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.2% FCF Margin ($260.6M FCF) & 33.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$8.59+11.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$9.59-0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$9.56-4.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B$9.17+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BRBR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, BRBR faces multiple-compression risk if 4.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.12) or 200D SMA ($13.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.79) toward Bear Floor ($7.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BRBR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BRBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

50.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.61>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE

L: $7$9.17H: $34

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (33% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A+RQD 19 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on BRBR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (95)

46.3% ROIC with 33.3% gross margin and 24.74% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 4.61 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BRBR

✓Strong cash generator (33% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BRBR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BRBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.18%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $9.29H $9.29L $9.06C $9.17VOL 2.90M

RES: $9.69SUP: $5.43SMA50: $9.12SMA200: $13.25

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BRBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BRBR Butterfly Map → + Track BRBR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-14.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BRBR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BRBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BRBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BRBR)

Consumer Staples Rank #8 of 146 ⚔️ SENEA vs BRBR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BRBR vs. SENEA, SENEB, SMPL, FLO)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #73 by equity capitalization ($1.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRBR leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while BRBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.3% ROIC and 33.3% gross margin. BRBR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BRBR ACTIVE BellRing Brands Inc.	B	73/100	4.9x	33.3%	46.3%	+1.21%	$1.05B	Benchmark Subject
SENEA Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)	D+	53/100	9.4x	—	16.1%	+0.57%	$1.08B	/senea-vs-brbr →
SENEB Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)	D+	53/100	9.4x	—	16.1%	0.00%	$1.08B	/seneb-vs-brbr →
SMPL The Simply Good Foods Company	C	62/100	8.9x	36.2%	6.4%	+5.54%	$925.9M	/smpl-vs-brbr →
FLO Flowers Foods Inc.	D+	57/100	15.6x	—	5.2%	+1.46%	$1.31B	/flo-vs-brbr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001772016

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.32B (+16.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.00B , and +39.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $216.2M, operating cash flow of $260.6M, and free cash flow of $260.6M (+30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BRBR closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $1.18B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.61, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$2.32B	$216.2M	$260.6M	$260.6M	$1.06B	$1.18B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$2.00B	$246.5M	$199.6M	$199.6M	$885.2M	$833.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$1.67B	$165.5M	$215.6M	$215.6M	—	—

3. BRBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BRBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BRBR compare to SENEA and SENEB in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BRBR?

Where is BRBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BRBR last traded at $9.17 (+1.21% on volume of 3,094,552 shares), positioning the stock +0.55% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.12) and -30.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.25). Across its 52-week range of $7.33 to $33.56, BRBR sits at the 7.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($8.18 to $10.16).

BRBR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell BRBR stock right now?

BellRing Brands Inc. (BRBR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (33% profit margin, 46% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is BRBR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

BRBR's 12-month base price target is $9.79 (range $7.52 to $35.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: BRBR RQD Cockpit BRBR 12M Forecast BRBR Earnings & Move BRBR Dividends & DRIP BRBR Insiders & 13F BRBR Whale Options BRBR Profit Sankey BRBR News & Why