Mara Quenwick | Roarable AI Analyst
🦋 SIGNATURE DESK // BUTTERFLY RIPPLE ENGINE Mara Quenwick | Roarable AI Analyst

The Interactive Butterfly Map: Multi-Tier Supply Chains & Second-Order Bottlenecks

“Who else gets paid, squeezed, or left behind if this happens?” Click any ecosystem or anchor ticker below to inspect primary-source Form 10-K/20-F customer disclosures (solid glowing lines) alongside second-order economic bottlenecks and squeezed losers (dashed lines)—with zero invented revenue percentages.

48
Mapped Links
40
10-K Confirmed
6 Chains
8 Hypotheses
ENTRY MODE:
SELECT ECOSYSTEM SUPPLY CHAIN (48 VERIFIED MULTI-TIER CONNECTIONS)
ANCHOR HUBS:
FILTER EDGES:
ECOSYSTEM TOPOLOGY // AI-DATACENTER-POWER-SUPPLY

AI Data-Center Compute, Packaging, Cooling & Grid Power

Solid Glow = CONFIRMED FILING (10-K / 20-F / Contract)Dashed = ANALYST HYPOTHESIS (2nd-Order Mechanism)TailwindHeadwindMixed / Bottleneck
TIER 1 • UPSTREAM SUPPLIERS & INPUTSTIER 2 • CORE ECOSYSTEM HUBSTIER 3 • CUSTOMERS, BOTTLENECKS & LOSERS10-K · CUSTOMERTSM1ST ORDERC+ · 69Taiwan Semiconducto…$431.81-1.75%Cockpit →MU1ST ORDERC+ · 66Micron Technology I…$934.27-4.98%Cockpit →AVGO1ST ORDERB- · 71Broadcom Inc.$345.00-1.94%Cockpit →ANET1ST ORDERB · 74Arista Networks Inc.$184.22-1.34%Cockpit →CEG1ST ORDERD+ · 57Constellation Energ…$264.58+2.52%Cockpit →NVDAHUBB- · 71NVIDIA Corporation$213.66-0.80%Cockpit →MSFTHUBB · 74Microsoft Corporati…$530.14-0.16%Cockpit →METAHUBB- · 70Meta Platforms, Inc.$624.52+1.96%Cockpit →GOOGLHUBB- · 71Alphabet Inc. (Clas…$283.82-12.64%Cockpit →AMZNHUBC- · 60Amazon.com, Inc.$243.79-4.25%Cockpit →VRT1ST ORDERC · 65Vertiv Holdings LLC$245.92+1.23%Cockpit →ETN1ST ORDERC · 64Eaton Corporation P…$393.72+0.21%Cockpit →VST1ST ORDERD- · 41Vistra Corp.$140.95-1.24%Cockpit →SMCI1ST ORDERC- · 60Super Micro Compute…$34.43-3.85%Cockpit →INTC1ST ORDERD- · 42Intel Corporation$92.07-3.62%Cockpit →SPONSORED 2ND-ORDER NODE🔒 [REDACTED TICKER] — The $4.20 Switchgear & Liquid-Cooling MonopolySponsored Research Dossier • Click to Unlock Instant Report ($2.50 CPL Instant Leadshare) →
SPONSORED 2ND-ORDER BOTTLENECK NODE🔒 [REDACTED TICKER] — The $4.20 Switchgear & Liquid-Cooling Monopoly
Sponsored Research Dossier • Click to Unlock Instant Report ($2.50 CPL Instant Leadshare) →
LIVE RQD DELTA ENGINE

⚡ RANKED SECOND-ORDER POWER, NETWORKING & THERMAL SUPPLIERS (WITH LIVE RQD DELTAS)

Primary Hub: NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation • Hub RQD 71/100) — Ranking connected 2nd-order & 3rd-order power, switchgear, liquid cooling, optical networking, lithography & HBM suppliers by RQD quality delta vs. hub.

SELECT PRIMARY HUB:
Rank By:
RankSupplier NodeOrder & Bottleneck RoleSupplier RQDRQD Delta vs NVDA (RQD 71)Actions
#1
ANET2ND-ORDER
Arista Networks Inc.
AI Ethernet Switching & 800G Backplane Optics
Replaces legacy InfiniBand bottlenecks across 100k+ GPU back-end cluster fabrics.
RQD 74(B)+3 vs NVDA • Higher Quality
Cockpit →
#2
MSFT2ND-ORDER
Microsoft Corporation
Technology Supply-Chain Node
Connected supply-chain and capex transmission beneficiary.
RQD 74(B)+3 vs NVDA • Higher Quality
Cockpit →
#3
AVGO2ND-ORDER
Broadcom Inc.
Custom ASICs (XPU) & Tomahawk 5 PCIe/Ethernet Silicon
Co-designs hyperscaler inference accelerators and high-radix cluster networking switches.
RQD 71(B-)0 vs NVDA • Parity
Cockpit →
#4
TSM2ND-ORDER
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.
3nm/4nm Foundry Wafer Fab & CoWoS-L Advanced Packaging
Sole-source wafer lithography and interposer packaging bottleneck for flagship AI accelerators.
RQD 69(C+)-2 vs NVDA • Torque Beta
Cockpit →
#5
ASML3RD-ORDER
ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares
High-NA EUV Lithography Scanners (Sub-2nm Node Gatekeeper)
Upstream monopoly supplier of EUV lithography systems enabling all leading-edge foundry capacity.
RQD 68(C+)-3 vs NVDA • Torque Beta
Cockpit →
#6
MU2ND-ORDER
Micron Technology Inc.
HBM3e / HBM4 High-Bandwidth Memory Stacks
High-stack DRAM cube memory integrated directly onto CoWoS interposers alongside GPU dies.
RQD 66(C+)-5 vs NVDA • Torque Beta
Cockpit →
#7
VRT2ND-ORDER
Vertiv Holdings LLC
Thermal & Liquid Cooling / Direct-to-Chip CDU Manifolds
120kW–140kW rack thermal dissipation requires chilled-water CDUs & rear-door heat exchangers.
RQD 65(C)-6 vs NVDA • Torque Beta
Cockpit →
#8
ETN2ND-ORDER
Eaton Corporation PLC
Medium-Voltage Transformers & Utility Switchgear
36–48 month lead-time step-down transformers and PDU switchgear governing megawatt energization.
RQD 64(C)-7 vs NVDA • Torque Beta
Cockpit →
#9
SMCI2ND-ORDER
Super Micro Computer Inc.
Direct-Liquid-Cooled (DLC) Rack-Scale Server Integration
Turnkey liquid-cooled rack assembly and cluster validation.
RQD 60(C-)-11 vs NVDA • Torque Beta
Cockpit →
#10
CEG2ND-ORDER
Constellation Energy Corporation
24/7 Carbon-Free Nuclear Baseload & Co-Located PPAs
Largest US merchant nuclear operator signing 20-year hyperscaler power agreements.
RQD 57(D+)-14 vs NVDA • Torque Beta
Cockpit →
#11
INTC2ND-ORDER
Intel Corporation
Technology Supply-Chain Node
Connected supply-chain and capex transmission beneficiary.
RQD 42(D-)-29 vs NVDA • Torque Beta
Cockpit →
#12
VST2ND-ORDER
Vistra Corp.
Nuclear/Baseload Power & ERCOT/PJM Dispatchable Generation
Behind-the-meter nuclear & CCGT fleet capturing 24/7 AI data-center power purchase spreads.
RQD 41(D-)-30 vs NVDA • Torque Beta
Cockpit →

Synchronized Transmission Matrix (11 Connections)

CLICK ANY ROW TO INSPECT PRIMARY FILING EVIDENCE →
Chain (Source → Target)RelationshipEvidence TierEffectMateriality / Disclosed Share
ANET→METACONFIRMED CUSTOMER✓ CONFIRMED FILINGTAILWIND~15%–21% Disclosed Named >10% Revenue Customer (Arista Form 10-K Note 18) • Verified via Annual SEC 10-K/20-F Relationship Disclosure (2025-02-18)
AVGO→GOOGLDIRECT SUPPLIER✓ CONFIRMED FILINGTAILWINDUndisclosed % — Anchor Custom AI Accelerator (XPU) & Networking Customer (AVGO Form 10-K) • Verified via Annual SEC 10-K/20-F Relationship Disclosure (2024-12-20)
AMZN→ETNBOTTLENECK BENEFICIARY◇ ANALYST HYPOTHESISTAILWINDSecond-Order Economic Exposure (Undisclosed % of Eaton Electrical Americas Backlog)
MU→NVDADIRECT SUPPLIER✓ CONFIRMED FILINGTAILWIND~13% Disclosed Top Customer Concentration Tier (Micron FY2024 Form 10-K Note 19) • Verified via Annual SEC 10-K/20-F Relationship Disclosure (2024-10-04)
NVDA→SMCICONFIRMED CUSTOMER✓ CONFIRMED FILINGMIXED / CONSTRAINTMaterial Supplier Concentration — >60% Purchase Concentration in Top GPU Vendor Tier (SMCI Form 10-K) • Verified via Annual SEC 10-K/20-F Relationship Disclosure (2025-02-25)
NVDA→INTCPOTENTIAL LOSER◇ ANALYST HYPOTHESISHEADWINDSecond-Order IT CapEx Wallet-Share Compression (Undisclosed % of Enterprise Server Spend)
TSM→NVDADIRECT SUPPLIER✓ CONFIRMED FILINGTAILWINDUndisclosed Bilateral % — Primary Advanced Foundry & CoWoS Packaging Supplier (NVDA Form 10-K) • Verified via Annual SEC 10-K/20-F Relationship Disclosure (2025-02-26)
CEG→MSFTDIRECT SUPPLIER✓ CONFIRMED FILINGTAILWINDNamed 20-Year ~835 MW Carbon-Free Nuclear PPA Contract (Constellation Form 8-K / 10-K) • Verified via Annual SEC 10-K/20-F Relationship Disclosure (2024-09-20)
NVDA→MSFTCONFIRMED CUSTOMER✓ CONFIRMED FILINGTAILWIND10%+ Disclosed Direct/Indirect Customer Concentration Tier (NVDA Form 10-K Note 17) • Verified via Annual SEC 10-K/20-F Relationship Disclosure (2025-02-26)
NVDA→VRTBOTTLENECK BENEFICIARY✓ CONFIRMED FILINGTAILWINDUndisclosed % — Co-Developed GB200 NVL72 Liquid-Cooling Reference Architecture (VRT Form 10-K) • Verified via Annual SEC 10-K/20-F Relationship Disclosure (2025-02-21)
NVDA→VSTBOTTLENECK BENEFICIARY◇ ANALYST HYPOTHESISTAILWINDSecond-Order Economic Exposure (Undisclosed % — Merchant Nuclear & ERCOT/PJM Power Tightness)
🔒 [REDACTED TICKER] — The $4.20 Switchgear & Liquid-Cooling Monopoly2ND-ORDER AI POWER MONOPOLY★ SPONSORED DOSSIER$1.4B BACKLOGSponsored Research Dossier • Click to Unlock Instant Report ($2.50 CPL Instant Leadshare) →
LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%