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Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$264.58 +2.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $265.28

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $93.74B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $265.27 (+0.26%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CEG SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.7% FCF Margin ($1.29B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$293.89-10.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$263.19-4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$252.48+4.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$264.58-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CEG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CEG faces multiple-compression risk if 40.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($272.47) or 200D SMA ($279.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($263.39) toward Bear Floor ($205.44).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CEG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CEG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

4830 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.13>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE22% OF RANGE

L: $229$264.58H: $388

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CEG

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (65)

13.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 1.37% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.13 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (50)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CEG

✓Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CEG)

✓Walkthrough of CEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.59%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-11-01O $258.1H $264.6L $258.1C $264.6VOL 2.72M

RES: $309.7SUP: $248.6SMA50: $272.5SMA200: $279.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CEG Butterfly Map → + Track CEG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

30.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CEG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

CEG → MSFT Confirmed Filing

Constellation Energy signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Microsoft underpinning the restart of Three Mile Island Unit 1 (Crane Clean Energy Center) to supply PJM baseload nuclear electricity.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 The Second-Order AI Bottleneck: Hyperscaler CapEx Is Shifting Pricing Power to Custom Networking, Switchgear & Baseload IPPs (mara-quenwick) 💡 Public Correction & Regulatory Revision: Co-Located Nuclear PPA Timelines After FERC Docket ER24-2172 (iona-brackenford) 🏛️ COMMENT_RULEMAKING: Large Power Transformers From the Republic of Korea: Preliminary Results of Antidumping Duty Administrative Review; 2024-2025 (Commerce Department • International Trade Administration) 🏛️ PROPOSAL: Bipartisan Grid Permitting Reform, NRC SMR Brownfield Siting & Multi-Year Munitions Bill Draft (U.S. Senate Energy & Natural Resources / Armed Services Committees (119th Congress)) 🎬 Curated Video: Elon Musk’s Power Plant on Wheels (Patrick Boyle) →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CEG)

Utilities Rank #48 of 117 ⚔️ SO vs CEG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CEG vs. SO, AEP, D, ETR)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) ranks #48 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #4 by equity capitalization ($93.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEP leads on earnings valuation at 17.0x trailing P/E, while CEG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and — gross margin. D currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with CEG at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CEG ACTIVE Constellation Energy Corporation	D+	57/100	40.4x	—	13.4%	+2.52%	$93.74B	Benchmark Subject
SO Southern Company	D	48/100	24.6x	—	6.9%	+1.61%	$106.97B	/so-vs-ceg →
AEP American Electric Power Company Inc.	C	63/100	17.0x	—	5.6%	+0.89%	$70.43B	/aep-vs-ceg →
D Dominion Energy Inc.	C	65/100	19.1x	—	5.5%	+1.31%	$57.27B	/d-vs-ceg →
ETR Entergy Corporation	D	46/100	20.5x	—	5.9%	+1.94%	$51.32B	/etr-vs-ceg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001868275

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) reported GAAP revenue of $22.66B (+19.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.96B , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.32B, operating cash flow of $4.24B, and free cash flow of $1.29B (+125.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CEG closed FY2025 with $57.25B in total assets against $7.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$22.66B	$2.32B	$4.24B	$1.29B	$57.25B	$7.25B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$18.96B	$3.75B	-$2.46B	-$5.03B	$52.93B	$7.38B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$20.84B	$1.62B	-$5.30B	-$6.24B	$51.56B	$12.06B

3. CEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CEG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $264.58 (+2.52% 1D, market cap $93.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CEG ranks #48 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CEG compare to SO and AEP in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), CEG carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.4%. By comparison, SO (Southern Company) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $106.97B) and AEP (American Electric Power Company Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $70.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CEG?

Per CEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001868275), Constellation Energy Corporation generated $22.66B in revenue (+19.5% YoY), $2.32B in net income, and $1.29B in free cash flow against $57.25B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CEG last traded at $264.58 (+2.52% on volume of 2,723,766 shares), positioning the stock -2.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($272.47) and -5.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($279.66). Across its 52-week range of $228.63 to $388.47, CEG sits at the 22.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($239.97 to $289.19).

CEG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CEG stock right now?

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 40x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CEG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CEG's 12-month base price target is $263.39 (range $205.44 to $407.89), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CEG RQD Cockpit CEG 12M Forecast CEG Earnings & Move CEG Dividends & DRIP CEG Insiders & 13F CEG Whale Options CEG Profit Sankey CEG News & Why