LRCX (59) ETN (64) VRT (65) CW (62) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1,675.70 +0.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,674.84

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $645.84B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,674.86 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 28.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASML)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASML SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$1,750.24-5.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$1,647.12-3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$1,590.90+5.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$1,675.70+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASML Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, ASML faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,702.95) or 200D SMA ($1,598.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,751.11) toward Bear Floor ($1,365.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASML• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASML Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

5030 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.87>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE69% OF RANGE

L: $946$1,675.70H: $2,000

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ASML

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.99% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.87 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (67)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ASML

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ASML Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ASML // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.88%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-01O $1,662.9H $1,675.7L $1,662.9C $1,675.7VOL 1.28M

RES: $1,859.0SUP: $1,619.0SMA50: $1,703.0SMA200: $1,599.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASML Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASML Butterfly Map → + Track ASML →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASML today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

ASML → TSM Confirmed Filing

ASML is the world sole-source manufacturer of 0.33-NA and 0.55-NA (High-NA) Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography scanners required for TSMC N3 and N2 leading-edge logic nodes.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASML today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASML)

Technology Rank #120 of 714 ⚔️ LRCX vs ASML Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ASML vs. LRCX, ETN, VRT, CW)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) ranks #120 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #10 by equity capitalization ($645.84B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASML leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while LRCX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.5% ROIC and 50.5% gross margin. ASML currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASML ACTIVE ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares	C+	68/100	21.7x	—	14.9%	+0.77%	$645.84B	Benchmark Subject
LRCX Lam Research Corporation	C-	59/100	43.7x	50.5%	25.5%	+0.23%	$317.78B	/lrcx-vs-asml →
ETN Eaton Corporation PLC	C	64/100	37.4x	37.6%	14.5%	+0.21%	$152.92B	/etn-vs-asml →
VRT Vertiv Holdings LLC	C	65/100	71.0x	36.3%	19.1%	+1.23%	$94.69B	/vrt-vs-asml →
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation	C	62/100	37.9x	37.2%	17.1%	+4.03%	$18.35B	/cw-vs-asml →

2. ASML Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $645.84B, trailing P/E of 21.7x, forward P/E of 20.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.9x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, net profit margin of 16.4%, ROIC of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. ASML Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASML stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (NASDAQ: ASML) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $1,675.70 (+0.77% 1D, market cap $645.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ASML ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASML compare to LRCX and ETN in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ASML carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, LRCX (Lam Research Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 43.7x, ROIC 25.5%, cap $317.78B) and ETN (Eaton Corporation PLC) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 37.4x, ROIC 14.5%, cap $152.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASML leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while LRCX leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASML?

For ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASML trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASML last traded at $1,675.70 (+0.77% on volume of 1,277,449 shares), positioning the stock -1.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1,702.95) and +4.80% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1,598.95). Across its 52-week range of $946.11 to $1,999.96, ASML sits at the 69.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($1,575.16 to $1,776.24).

ASML Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ASML stock right now?

ASML Holding N.V. New York Registry Shares (ASML) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ASML's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ASML's 12-month base price target is $1751.11 (range $1365.87 to $2099.96), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASML RQD Cockpit ASML 12M Forecast ASML Earnings & Move ASML Dividends & DRIP ASML Insiders & 13F ASML Whale Options ASML Profit Sankey ASML News & Why