SKHY (66) MU (66) INTC (42) AMAT (67) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$431.81 -1.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $429.63

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.24T

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $429.61 (-0.51%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 28.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TSM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TSM SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.4) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$444.35-5.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$420.22+1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$424.37+1.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$431.81+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TSM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, TSM faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($435.18) or 200D SMA ($400.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($453.18) toward Bear Floor ($353.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TSM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TSM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

49.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.87>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE75% OF RANGE

L: $267$431.81H: $487

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on TSM

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.99% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.87 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (68)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TSM

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TSM Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TSM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.52%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-01O $439.5H $439.5L $431.8C $431.8VOL 8.47M

RES: $490.4SUP: $355.5SMA50: $435.2SMA200: $400.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TSM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TSM Butterfly Map → + Track TSM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

DEVELOPING · CoWoS Leader Ascending Channel

Trigger: $443.90 • Invalidation: $403.74

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

TSM → AAPL Confirmed Filing

Apple sources 100% of custom A-series iPhone SoCs, M-series Mac/iPad processors, and Private Cloud Compute silicon from TSMC leading-edge 3nm (N3B/N3E) and upcoming 2nm nodes.

TSM → AMD Confirmed Filing

AMD relies on TSMC 5nm/4nm/3nm logic wafers and CoWoS packaging to manufacture EPYC Turin data-center CPUs and Instinct MI300X/MI325X/MI355X AI GPU chiplets.

LRCX → TSM Confirmed Filing

3D chiplet stacking, through-silicon vias (TSVs) in HBM, and Gate-All-Around selective atomic-layer etching sharply increase Lam Research etch and deposition intensity per wafer start.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 Starter Kit: Advanced Foundry, HBM & Custom Silicon (mara-quenwick) 🏛️ ENACTED_FINAL_RULE: BIS Export Administration Regulations: Advanced AI Compute & HBM Semiconductor Controls (Department of Commerce — Bureau of Industry and Security (15 CFR Parts 734, 740, 744)) 🏛️ ENACTED_FINAL_RULE: CHIPS Direct Funding Agreements & Treasury Section 48D 25% Semiconductor Investment Tax Credit (Department of Commerce (CHIPS Program Office) & U.S. Treasury / IRS (26 CFR Part 1, TD 10009)) 🎬 Curated Video: Nvidia shares jump after blockbuster earnings boost AI confidence (CNBC Television) →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TSM)

Technology Rank #109 of 714 ⚔️ SKHY vs TSM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TSM vs. SKHY, MU, INTC, AMAT)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) ranks #109 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #4 by equity capitalization ($2.24T). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TSM leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while AMAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and 48.7% gross margin. TSM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TSM ACTIVE Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.	C+	69/100	21.7x	—	14.9%	-1.75%	$2.24T	Benchmark Subject
SKHY SK hynix Inc.	C+	66/100	21.7x	—	14.9%	-1.58%	$1.18T	/skhy-vs-tsm →
MU Micron Technology Inc.	C+	66/100	123.8x	39.8%	9.1%	-4.98%	$1.06T	/mu-vs-tsm →
INTC Intel Corporation	D-	42/100	—	34.8%	-1.2%	-3.62%	$486.60B	/intc-vs-tsm →
AMAT Applied Materials Inc.	C+	67/100	47.8x	48.7%	24.5%	+1.36%	$334.63B	/amat-vs-tsm →

2. TSM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) operates in Semiconductors (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $2.24T, trailing P/E of 21.7x, forward P/E of 20.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.9x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, net profit margin of 16.4%, ROIC of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. TSM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TSM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (NYSE: TSM) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $431.81 (-1.75% 1D, market cap $2.24T). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TSM ranks #109 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TSM compare to SKHY and MU in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), TSM carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, SKHY (SK hynix Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $1.18T) and MU (Micron Technology Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 123.8x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $1.06T). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSM leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while AMAT leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TSM?

For Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TSM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TSM last traded at $431.81 (-1.75% on volume of 8,466,146 shares), positioning the stock -0.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($435.18) and +7.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($400.61). Across its 52-week range of $266.82 to $487.47, TSM sits at the 74.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($407.63 to $455.99).

TSM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TSM stock right now?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is TSM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TSM's 12-month base price target is $453.18 (range $353.48 to $534.75), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TSM RQD Cockpit TSM 12M Forecast TSM Earnings & Move TSM Dividends & DRIP TSM Insiders & 13F TSM Whale Options TSM Profit Sankey TSM News & Why