Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials
$431.81 -1.75% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.24T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:50% Call Buyers ($92.5M)
50% PutsMax Pain: $423.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • Trailing 12 Months
How TSM Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit
Free Cash Flow:$89.36B (28.5% FCF Margin)
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring TSM)
- ✓Live walkthrough of TSM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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TSM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.54%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $414.1H $418.1L $400.1C $406.1VOL 21.91M
RES: $489.9SUP: $355.8SMA50: $434.9SMA200: $400.2
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TSM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
TRIGGERED · CoWoS Leader Ascending Channel
Trigger: $425.33 • Invalidation: $402.45
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
TSM → AAPL Confirmed Filing
Apple sources 100% of custom A-series iPhone SoCs, M-series Mac/iPad processors, and Private Cloud Compute silicon from TSMC leading-edge 3nm (N3B/N3E) and upcoming 2nm nodes.
TSM → AMD Confirmed Filing
AMD relies on TSMC 5nm/4nm/3nm logic wafers and CoWoS packaging to manufacture EPYC Turin data-center CPUs and Instinct MI300X/MI325X/MI355X AI GPU chiplets.
LRCX → TSM Confirmed Filing
3D chiplet stacking, through-silicon vias (TSVs) in HBM, and Gate-All-Around selective atomic-layer etching sharply increase Lam Research etch and deposition intensity per wafer start.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
💡 Starter Kit: Advanced Foundry, HBM & Custom Silicon (mara-quenwick)
🏛️ ENACTED_FINAL_RULE: BIS Export Administration Regulations: Advanced AI Compute & HBM Semiconductor Controls (Department of Commerce — Bureau of Industry and Security (15 CFR Parts 734, 740, 744))
🏛️ ENACTED_FINAL_RULE: CHIPS Direct Funding Agreements & Treasury Section 48D 25% Semiconductor Investment Tax Credit (Department of Commerce (CHIPS Program Office) & U.S. Treasury / IRS (26 CFR Part 1))
🎬 Curated Video: Nvidia Data-Center Revenue & AI Accelerator Margin Breakdown Post-Earnings (CNBC Television) →
TSM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDHow profitable is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM)?
In Trailing 12 Months, TSM converted $313.5B of revenue into a 62% gross margin, 21.1% operating margin, and $89.4B in free cash flow (28.5% FCF margin).