MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Merlin shares are trading lower after the company announced a $80 million PIPE investment.Why YSS Stock surged +6.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.99 +6.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.05
York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $960.1M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on YSS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is YSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, York Space Systems Inc. (NYSE: YSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $6.99 (+6.07% 1D, market cap $960.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, YSS ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does YSS compare to CDNL and PKE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), YSS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.7x, ROIC 54.6%, cap $765.5M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSS?
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Per YSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002086587), York Space Systems Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.48B in total assets and $145.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.05 (+0.90%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YSS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$7.11-21.5% Next Q
70
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$5.58+13.1% Next Q
67
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$6.31+10.8% Next Q
65
CurrentGrade C$6.99+0.7% Hist 90D α
62
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the YSS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, YSS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.95) or 200D SMA ($20.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.12) toward Bear Floor ($5.55).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why YSS Stock surged +6.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) surged +6.07% to $6.99, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($5.52 – $44.54). Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($5.52 – $44.54) with RSI-14 at 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $6.99 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $26.9M annual free cash flow.
Live YSS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 3d ago
An Investor's Guide To Fighter JetsMARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
York Space Systems to Release Third Quarter 2026 Results on November 12, 2026DENVER, October 29, 2026--York Space Systems Inc. (NYSE: YSS) will release its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 after the close of market on Thursday, November 12, 2026. In conjunction with this
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
Piper Sandler Maintains Neutral on York Space Systems, Lowers Price Target to $8Piper Sandler analyst Clarke Jeffries maintains York Space Systems (NYSE:YSS) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $9 to $8.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (YSS Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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YSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -78.92%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $6.72H $6.99L $6.16C $6.99VOL 1.47M
RES: $2.11SUP: $4.88SMA50: $7.95SMA200: $20.67
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
YSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YSS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YSS)
Industrials Rank #139 of 485
⚔️ CDNL vs YSS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (YSS vs. CDNL, PKE, VOYG, XTND)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) ranks #139 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #256 by equity capitalization ($960.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with YSS at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YSS
ACTIVE
York Space Systems Inc. | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | +6.07% | $960.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 55/100 | 33.7x | — | 54.6% | +1.51% | $765.5M | /cdnl-vs-yss → |
| PKE Park Aerospace Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | — | 30.9% | 19.0% | +1.34% | $584.9M | /pke-vs-yss → |
| VOYG Voyager Technologies Inc. (Class A) | E | 32/100 | — | 18.0% | -35.0% | +2.43% | $1.72B | /voyg-vs-yss → |
| XTND Xtend AI Robotics Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -3.47% | $475.7M | /xtnd-vs-yss → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002086587In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, YSS closed FY2025 with $1.48B in total assets against $145.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $1.48B | $145.0M |
3. YSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs YSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, York Space Systems Inc. (NYSE: YSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $6.99 (+6.07% 1D, market cap $960.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, YSS ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.
How does YSS compare to CDNL and PKE in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), YSS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.7x, ROIC 54.6%, cap $765.5M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSS?
Per YSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002086587), York Space Systems Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.48B in total assets and $145.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is YSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
YSS last traded at $6.99 (+6.07% on volume of 1,432,848 shares), positioning the stock -12.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.95) and -66.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.67). Across its 52-week range of $5.52 to $44.54, YSS sits at the 3.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.12 to $7.86).
YSS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is YSS stock moving today?
Why YSS Stock surged +6.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.