York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$6.99 +6.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.05

York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $960.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.05 (+0.90%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (10)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (17)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.9% Base Target
$47 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE YSS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YSS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$7.11-21.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$5.58+13.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$6.31+10.8% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$6.99+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the YSS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, YSS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.95) or 200D SMA ($20.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.12) toward Bear Floor ($5.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How YSS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$26.9M (0.7% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.08BNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY25
Rev $4.00B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.00B52%0%$0$015%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YSS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of YSS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
YSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -78.92%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $6.72H $6.99L $6.16C $6.99VOL 1.47M
RES: $2.11SUP: $4.88SMA50: $7.95SMA200: $20.67
$40.25$30.84$21.43$12.01$2.60RES $2.11SUP $4.88$6.992026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YSS)

Industrials Rank #139 of 485 ⚔️ CDNL vs YSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (YSS vs. CDNL, PKE, VOYG, XTND)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) ranks #139 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #256 by equity capitalization ($960.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with YSS at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YSS ACTIVE
York Space Systems Inc.
C 62/100 — — — +6.07% $960.1M Benchmark Subject
CDNL
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)
D+ 55/100 33.7x — 54.6% +1.51% $765.5M /cdnl-vs-yss →
PKE
Park Aerospace Corp.
C+ 67/100 — 30.9% 19.0% +1.34% $584.9M /pke-vs-yss →
VOYG
Voyager Technologies Inc. (Class A)
E 32/100 — 18.0% -35.0% +2.43% $1.72B /voyg-vs-yss →
XTND
Xtend AI Robotics Inc.
D 49/100 — — — -3.47% $475.7M /xtnd-vs-yss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002086587

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, YSS closed FY2025 with $1.48B in total assets against $145.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $1.48B $145.0M

3. YSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, York Space Systems Inc. (NYSE: YSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $6.99 (+6.07% 1D, market cap $960.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, YSS ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YSS compare to CDNL and PKE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), YSS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.7x, ROIC 54.6%, cap $765.5M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $584.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSS?

Per YSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002086587), York Space Systems Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.48B in total assets and $145.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YSS last traded at $6.99 (+6.07% on volume of 1,432,848 shares), positioning the stock -12.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.95) and -66.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.67). Across its 52-week range of $5.52 to $44.54, YSS sits at the 3.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.12 to $7.86).

YSS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is York Space Systems Inc. (YSS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), YSS converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $26.9M in free cash flow (0.7% FCF margin).

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%