Stock Ratings / Technology / YALA / earnings

DSP (59) TBLA (70) NXDR (48) SMWB (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (YALA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.8% Move

$5.62 +0.54% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.64

Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (YALA) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $853.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.64 (+0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 39.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YALA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY YALA SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$5.51+0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$5.54+1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$5.61+0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B$5.62+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the YALA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, YALA faces multiple-compression risk if 5.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 64.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.51) or 200D SMA ($6.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.97) toward Bear Floor ($4.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YALA• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “YALA Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.8% Swing Band

±$0.21 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

YALA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $0.98 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0.7%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$341.9M	$148.1M	$135.6M	67.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$339.7M	$134.2M	$172.1M	64.5%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$318.9M	$113.1M	$139.3M	67.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating YALA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on YALA
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

YALA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.87%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $5.56H $5.62L $5.46C $5.62VOL 305.9K

RES: $5.69SUP: $5.34SMA50: $5.51SMA200: $6.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YALA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 YALA Butterfly Map → + Track YALA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YALA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YALA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YALA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YALA)

Technology Rank #75 of 714 ⚔️ DSP vs YALA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (YALA vs. DSP, TBLA, NXDR, SMWB)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (YALA) ranks #75 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #366 by equity capitalization ($853.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YALA leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while YALA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.1% ROIC and 67.3% gross margin. YALA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
YALA ACTIVE Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share	B	72/100	5.8x	67.3%	34.1%	+0.54%	$853.3M	Benchmark Subject
DSP Viant Technology Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	106.2x	45.8%	21.5%	-6.71%	$887.1M	/dsp-vs-yala →
TBLA Taboola.com Ltd.	B-	70/100	21.0x	29.8%	3.9%	+1.15%	$887.4M	/tbla-vs-yala →
NXDR Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D	48/100	—	84.1%	-15.4%	-2.95%	$889.8M	/nxdr-vs-yala →
SMWB Similarweb Ltd.	D	45/100	—	79.5%	-35.0%	-1.32%	$804.9M	/smwb-vs-yala →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001794350

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (YALA) reported GAAP revenue of $341.9M (+0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $339.7M , and +7.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $148.1M, operating cash flow of $137.5M, and free cash flow of $135.6M (-21.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, YALA closed FY2025 with $896.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.02, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$341.9M	$148.1M	$137.5M	$135.6M	$896.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$339.7M	$134.2M	$172.8M	$172.1M	$801.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$318.9M	$113.1M	$139.3M	$139.3M	—	—

3. YALA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YALA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (NYSE: YALA) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $5.62 (+0.54% 1D, market cap $853.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, YALA ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YALA compare to DSP and TBLA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), YALA carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of 67.3%, and ROIC of 34.1%. By comparison, DSP (Viant Technology Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 106.2x, ROIC 21.5%, cap $887.1M) and TBLA (Taboola.com Ltd.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $887.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YALA leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while YALA leads on capital efficiency (34.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YALA?

Per YALA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001794350), Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share generated $341.9M in revenue (+0.7% YoY), $148.1M in net income, and $135.6M in free cash flow against $896.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (67% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YALA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YALA last traded at $5.62 (+0.54% on volume of 242,148 shares), positioning the stock +2.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.51) and -7.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.05). Across its 52-week range of $5.01 to $7.83, YALA sits at the 21.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($5.41 to $5.83).

YALA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is YALA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (YALA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is YALA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.8% event move for YALA, spanning a range between $5.41 and $5.83.

Direct Sub-Reports: YALA RQD Cockpit YALA 12M Forecast YALA Earnings & Move YALA Dividends & DRIP YALA Insiders & 13F YALA Whale Options YALA Profit Sankey YALA News & Why