Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, XRN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.27) or 200D SMA ($35.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.25) toward Bear Floor ($23.60).
Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) surged +6.08% to $30.52, trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($28.09 – $38.65). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
TowneBank (TOWN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +10.98% and +3.39%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
The price target range for Chiron Real Estate now runs from US$37 on the cautious side to US$43 for more optimistic views. This spread reflects how differently analysts are weighing the Senior Housing Operating Propertie
BETHESDA, Md., October 19, 2026--Chiron Real Estate Inc. (NYSE: XRN) (the "Company" or "Chiron"), announced today that it intends to release its third quarter 2026 financial results after the market closes on Wednesday,
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XRN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) ranks #683 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #746 by equity capitalization ($404.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FPI leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while FPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with XRN at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRN
ACTIVE
Chiron Real Estate Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | -1.4% | +6.08% | $404.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| RWT Redwood Trust Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -7.1% | -0.92% | $405.7M | /rwt-vs-xrn → |
| FPI Farmland Partners Inc. | D | 49/100 | 12.2x | — | 5.9% | -13.13% | $384.0M | /fpi-vs-xrn → |
| TCI Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc. | D- | 38/100 | 31.6x | — | -0.6% | +3.00% | $435.7M | /tci-vs-xrn → |
| CHCT Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated | D+ | 58/100 | 73.3x | — | 1.2% | +2.35% | $373.9M | /chct-vs-xrn → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) reported GAAP revenue of $148.2M (+6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $138.8M , and +5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.9M, operating cash flow of $73.6M, and free cash flow of $73.6M (+5.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, XRN closed FY2025 with $1.24B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $148.2M | -$6.9M | $73.6M | $73.6M | $1.24B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $138.8M | $6.7M | $70.0M | $70.0M | $1.26B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $141.0M | $21.7M | $68.4M | $68.4M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (NYSE: XRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $30.52 (+6.08% 1D, market cap $404.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, XRN ranks #683 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), XRN carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.4%. By comparison, RWT (Redwood Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.1%, cap $405.7M) and FPI (Farmland Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $384.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while FPI leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).
Per XRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001533615), Chiron Real Estate Inc. generated $148.2M in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$6.9M in net income, and $73.6M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
XRN last traded at $30.52 (+6.08% on volume of 220,092 shares), positioning the stock -10.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.27) and -13.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.32). Across its 52-week range of $28.09 to $38.65, XRN sits at the 23.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($28.41 to $32.63).
Why XRN Stock surged +6.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.