Stock Ratings / Financials / XRN / financials

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Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$30.52 +6.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.80

Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $404.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.79 (+0.90%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 49.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY XRN SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$33.59-9.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$30.34-1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$30.00+1.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$30.52-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the XRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, XRN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.27) or 200D SMA ($35.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.25) toward Bear Floor ($23.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “XRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How XRN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$73.6M (49.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $141.0M

FY24

Rev $138.8M

FY25

Rev $148.2M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$148.2M	52%	0%	-$6.9M	$73.6M	-1.4%
FY 2024	$138.8M	52%	0%	$6.7M	$70.0M	-1.4%
FY 2023	$141.0M	52%	0%	$21.7M	$68.4M	-1.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XRN)

✓Walkthrough of XRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

XRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.97%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $30.83H $30.83L $29.93C $30.52VOL 115.3K

RES: $36.53SUP: $27.94SMA50: $34.27SMA200: $35.32

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XRN Butterfly Map → + Track XRN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XRN)

Financials Rank #683 of 1096 ⚔️ RWT vs XRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (XRN vs. RWT, FPI, TCI, CHCT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) ranks #683 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #746 by equity capitalization ($404.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FPI leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while FPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with XRN at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
XRN ACTIVE Chiron Real Estate Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	-1.4%	+6.08%	$404.0M	Benchmark Subject
RWT Redwood Trust Inc.	D-	35/100	—	—	-7.1%	-0.92%	$405.7M	/rwt-vs-xrn →
FPI Farmland Partners Inc.	D	49/100	12.2x	—	5.9%	-13.13%	$384.0M	/fpi-vs-xrn →
TCI Transcontinental Realty Investors Inc.	D-	38/100	31.6x	—	-0.6%	+3.00%	$435.7M	/tci-vs-xrn →
CHCT Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated	D+	58/100	73.3x	—	1.2%	+2.35%	$373.9M	/chct-vs-xrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001533615

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN) reported GAAP revenue of $148.2M (+6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $138.8M , and +5.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.9M, operating cash flow of $73.6M, and free cash flow of $73.6M (+5.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, XRN closed FY2025 with $1.24B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$148.2M	-$6.9M	$73.6M	$73.6M	$1.24B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$138.8M	$6.7M	$70.0M	$70.0M	$1.26B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$141.0M	$21.7M	$68.4M	$68.4M	—	—

3. XRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Chiron Real Estate Inc. (NYSE: XRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $30.52 (+6.08% 1D, market cap $404.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, XRN ranks #683 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XRN compare to RWT and FPI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), XRN carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.4%. By comparison, RWT (Redwood Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.1%, cap $405.7M) and FPI (Farmland Partners Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $384.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while FPI leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XRN?

Per XRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001533615), Chiron Real Estate Inc. generated $148.2M in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$6.9M in net income, and $73.6M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XRN last traded at $30.52 (+6.08% on volume of 220,092 shares), positioning the stock -10.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.27) and -13.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($35.32). Across its 52-week range of $28.09 to $38.65, XRN sits at the 23.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($28.41 to $32.63).

XRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Chiron Real Estate Inc. (XRN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), XRN converted $148.2M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $73.6M in free cash flow (49.7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: XRN RQD Cockpit XRN 12M Forecast XRN Earnings & Move XRN Dividends & DRIP XRN Insiders & 13F XRN Whale Options XRN Profit Sankey XRN News & Why