Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: XPOF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $3.74 (-6.73% 1D, market cap $184.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XPOF ranks #737 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), XPOF carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, AIBZ (Bitzero Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $202.8M) and SEG (Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.6%, cap $295.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XPOF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPOF leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).
Per XPOF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001802156), Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) generated $314.9M in revenue (-1.7% YoY), -$38.7M in net income, and $24.7M in free cash flow against $345.6M in total assets and $500.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.9% FCF Margin ($24.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
While XPOF currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.46) and Max Pain ($3.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.71.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) dropped -6.73% to $3.74, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($3.57 – $9.25). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Investing.com -- Shares of Xponential Fitness (NYSE: XPOF) climbed 12% on Friday following reports that Fund 1 Investments LLC is exploring a bid to take the boutique fitness franchisor private.
Gainers Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF) stock moved upwards by 19.5% to $4.47 during Friday's regular session. The company's market cap stands at $157.8 million. Capri Holdings (NYSE:CPRI) stock moved upwards
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-30/investor-said-to-look-to-bid-on-club-pilates-owner-xponential
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +20.43% and +2.25%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Xponential Fitness stock faces falling revenue, profits, and sales despite a low valuation. Here's what investors need to know.
IRVINE, Calif., October 22, 2026--Xponential Fitness, Inc. (NYSE: XPOF) ("Xponential" or the "Company"), one of the leading global franchisors of boutique health and wellness brands, today announced that it will release
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPOF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPOF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) ranks #737 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #706 by equity capitalization ($184.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XPOF leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XPOF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with XPOF at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPOF
ACTIVE
Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) | D- | 40/100 | — | — | 6.8% | -6.73% | $184.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| AIBZ Bitzero Holdings Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -12.37% | $202.8M | /aibz-vs-xpof → |
| SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | — | -24.6% | +1.27% | $295.3M | /seg-vs-xpof → |
| TP Ticketplus Ltd. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $103.1M | /tp-vs-xpof → |
| CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg S.A. | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -5.86% | $387.4M | /cdro-vs-xpof → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (XPOF) reported GAAP revenue of $314.9M (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $320.3M , and -1.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$38.7M, operating cash flow of $28.3M, and free cash flow of $24.7M (+255.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPOF closed FY2025 with $345.6M in total assets against $500.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $314.9M | -$38.7M | $28.3M | $24.7M | $345.6M | $500.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $320.3M | -$67.7M | $11.7M | $7.0M | $403.4M | $341.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $317.9M | -$4.0M | $32.7M | $32.7M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: XPOF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $3.74 (-6.73% 1D, market cap $184.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XPOF ranks #737 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), XPOF carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, AIBZ (Bitzero Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $202.8M) and SEG (Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.6%, cap $295.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XPOF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPOF leads on capital efficiency (6.8% ROIC).
Per XPOF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001802156), Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) generated $314.9M in revenue (-1.7% YoY), -$38.7M in net income, and $24.7M in free cash flow against $345.6M in total assets and $500.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
XPOF last traded at $3.74 (-6.73% on volume of 1,298,601 shares), positioning the stock -16.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.46) and -37.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.01). Across its 52-week range of $3.57 to $9.25, XPOF sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.27 to $4.21).
Why XPOF Stock dropped -6.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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