Why XBIT Stock dropped -2.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.94 -2.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.93

XBiotech Inc. (XBIT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $59.1M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XBIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, XBiotech Inc. (NASDAQ: XBIT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.94 (-2.51% 1D, market cap $59.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, XBIT ranks #616 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XBIT compare to VRCA and RFL in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), XBIT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VRCA (Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.8M) and RFL (Rafael Holdings Inc. (Class B)) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XBIT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XBIT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XBIT?
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Per XBIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001626878), XBiotech Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$45.5M in net income, and -$40.2M in free cash flow against $150.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.93 (-0.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE XBIT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XBIT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XBIT SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$2.29-7.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$2.12-9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$1.93+0.5% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$1.94-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XBIT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XBIT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.15) and Max Pain ($2.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XBIT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XBIT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why XBIT Stock dropped -2.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

XBiotech Inc. (XBIT) dropped -2.51% to $1.94, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($1.8 – $3.44). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($1.8 – $3.44) with RSI-14 at 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11% around $1.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live XBIT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 14d ago
XBiotech Announces Data From Its Phase II Portion Of Multicenter TASKIN Clinical Study Meets Pre-Specifed Primary Efficacy Success Criterion Under Simon Two-Stage Design; 61.3% Participants In Vilamakitug Experimental Arm Were Alive, Surpassing Threshold Of 42, More Surviving Patients

XBiotech Inc. (NASDAQ: XBIT) today announced positive final efficacy results from the randomized Phase II portion of the multicenter TASKIN clinical trial. The investigator-sponsored study—funded by the French National

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XBIT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of XBIT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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XBIT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.93H $1.98L $1.87C $1.94VOL 50.6K
RES: $2.28SUP: $1.79SMA50: $2.15SMA200: $2.32
$2.63$2.41$2.18$1.96$1.73RES $2.28SUP $1.79$1.942026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XBIT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XBIT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XBIT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XBIT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XBIT)

Health Care Rank #616 of 1016 ⚔️ VRCA vs XBIT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (XBIT vs. VRCA, RFL, APLM, BOLD)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XBiotech Inc. (XBIT) ranks #616 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #725 by equity capitalization ($59.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XBIT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XBIT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. APLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with XBIT at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XBIT ACTIVE
XBiotech Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -2.51% $59.1M Benchmark Subject
VRCA
Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -1.72% $58.8M /vrca-vs-xbit →
RFL
Rafael Holdings Inc. (Class B)
E 16/100 — — -35.0% -7.44% $58.2M /rfl-vs-xbit →
APLM
Apollomics Inc. (Class A)
C 62/100 — — — +4.16% $60.2M /aplm-vs-xbit →
BOLD
Boundless Bio Inc.
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% -0.80% $57.3M /bold-vs-xbit →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001626878

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), XBiotech Inc. (XBIT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$45.5M, operating cash flow of -$39.9M, and free cash flow of -$40.2M (-24.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, XBIT closed FY2025 with $150.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$45.5M -$39.9M -$40.2M $150.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$38.5M -$31.0M -$32.3M $199.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$24.6M -$18.7M -$18.7M — —

3. XBIT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XBIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, XBiotech Inc. (NASDAQ: XBIT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.94 (-2.51% 1D, market cap $59.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, XBIT ranks #616 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XBIT compare to VRCA and RFL in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), XBIT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VRCA (Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.8M) and RFL (Rafael Holdings Inc. (Class B)) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XBIT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XBIT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XBIT?

Per XBIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001626878), XBiotech Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$45.5M in net income, and -$40.2M in free cash flow against $150.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XBIT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XBIT last traded at $1.94 (-2.51% on volume of 73,986 shares), positioning the stock -9.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.15) and -16.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.32). Across its 52-week range of $1.80 to $3.44, XBIT sits at the 8.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($1.73 to $2.15).

XBIT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is XBIT stock moving today?

Why XBIT Stock dropped -2.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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