Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / WU / insiders

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Western Union Company (WU) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$6.21 +1.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.22

Western Union Company (WU) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.94B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.22 (+0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 13% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY WU SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13% FCF Margin ($505.2M FCF) & 34.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 8% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$6.12+0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$6.17+2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$6.34-2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$6.21+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, WU faces multiple-compression risk if 3.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 31.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.49) or 200D SMA ($8.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.49) toward Bear Floor ($5.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “WU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

WU Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (WU)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on WU. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WU Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

WU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.68%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $6.28H $6.28L $6.06C $6.21VOL 8.44M

RES: $6.25SUP: $5.66SMA50: $6.49SMA200: $8.07

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WU Butterfly Map → + Track WU →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WU)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #217 of 1011 ⚔️ TIC vs WU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WU vs. TIC, FLYW, PAYO, RDWR)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Western Union Company (WU) ranks #217 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #420 by equity capitalization ($1.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WU leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while WU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.3% gross margin. WU currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
WU ACTIVE Western Union Company	C+	68/100	3.9x	34.3%	85.0%	+1.97%	$1.94B	Benchmark Subject
TIC TIC Solutions Inc.	D	46/100	—	29.4%	-0.4%	+3.90%	$2.27B	/tic-vs-wu →
FLYW Flywire Corporation Voting	C	62/100	—	—	1.8%	+1.90%	$2.35B	/flyw-vs-wu →
PAYO Payoneer Global Inc.	C+	66/100	33.0x	—	34.1%	0.00%	$2.41B	/payo-vs-wu →
RDWR Radware Ltd.	D	47/100	76.5x	80.7%	3.7%	-1.40%	$1.55B	/rdwr-vs-wu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001365135

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Western Union Company (WU) reported GAAP revenue of $3.88B (-3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.03B , and -6.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $499.6M, operating cash flow of $543.7M, and free cash flow of $505.2M (+36.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, WU closed FY2025 with $8.31B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.92, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.88B	$499.6M	$543.7M	$505.2M	$8.31B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.03B	$934.2M	$406.3M	$368.9M	$8.37B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.16B	$626.0M	$783.1M	$783.1M	—	—

3. WU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Western Union Company (NYSE: WU) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $6.21 (+1.97% 1D, market cap $1.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WU ranks #217 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WU compare to TIC and FLYW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), WU carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.9x, gross margin of 34.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, TIC (TIC Solutions Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.4%, cap $2.27B) and FLYW (Flywire Corporation Voting) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.8%, cap $2.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while WU leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WU?

Per WU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001365135), Western Union Company generated $3.88B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), $499.6M in net income, and $505.2M in free cash flow against $8.31B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (34% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WU last traded at $6.21 (+1.97% on volume of 6,969,096 shares), positioning the stock -4.31% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.49) and -23.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.07). Across its 52-week range of $5.87 to $10.35, WU sits at the 7.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($5.82 to $6.60).

WU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are WU insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies WU leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: WU RQD Cockpit WU 12M Forecast WU Earnings & Move WU Dividends & DRIP WU Insiders & 13F WU Whale Options WU Profit Sankey WU News & Why