W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.3% Move

$4.03 -4.50% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.99

W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $608.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.99 (-1.00%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (11)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.5% Base Target
$5 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE WTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WTI SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.4% FCF Margin ($77.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$3.63+4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$3.80+10.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$4.19-3.8% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$4.03-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WTI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WTI currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.82) and Max Pain ($4.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.3% Swing Band

±$0.46 Expected Swing
$3.57 (-11.3%)Spot $4.03$4.49 (+11.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

WTI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4.5%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$501.5M-$150.1M$77.2M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$525.3M-$87.1M$59.5M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$532.7M$15.6M$115.3M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WTI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of WTI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.28%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $4.18H $4.22L $3.87C $4.03VOL 7.24M
RES: $4.29SUP: $3.59SMA50: $3.82SMA200: $3.42
$5.28$4.45$3.61$2.78$1.94RES $4.29SUP $3.59$4.032026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WTI)

Energy Rank #165 of 211 ⚔️ EGY vs WTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (WTI vs. EGY, SOC, SD, GPRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) ranks #165 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #150 by equity capitalization ($608.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SD leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while SD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with WTI at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WTI ACTIVE
W&T Offshore Inc.
D 46/100 — — -35.0% -4.50% $608.3M Benchmark Subject
EGY
VAALCO Energy Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -4.2% -1.40% $666.9M /egy-vs-wti →
SOC
Sable Offshore Corp.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -5.88% $552.6M /soc-vs-wti →
SD
SandRidge Energy Inc.
C+ 67/100 7.7x — 12.0% -1.22% $538.7M /sd-vs-wti →
GPRK
Geopark Ltd
D 50/100 — — — -1.64% $702.2M /gprk-vs-wti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001288403

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI) reported GAAP revenue of $501.5M (-4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $525.3M , and -5.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$150.1M, operating cash flow of $77.2M, and free cash flow of $77.2M (+29.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, WTI closed FY2025 with $955.8M in total assets against $342.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $501.5M -$150.1M $77.2M $77.2M $955.8M $342.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $525.3M -$87.1M $59.5M $59.5M $1.10B $365.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $532.7M $15.6M $115.3M $115.3M — —

3. WTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, W&T Offshore Inc. (NYSE: WTI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $4.03 (-4.50% 1D, market cap $608.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, WTI ranks #165 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WTI compare to EGY and SOC in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), WTI carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EGY (VAALCO Energy Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.2%, cap $666.9M) and SOC (Sable Offshore Corp.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $552.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SD leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while SD leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WTI?

Per WTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001288403), W&T Offshore Inc. generated $501.5M in revenue (-4.5% YoY), -$150.1M in net income, and $77.2M in free cash flow against $955.8M in total assets and $342.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WTI last traded at $4.03 (-4.50% on volume of 4,001,034 shares), positioning the stock +5.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.82) and +17.84% above its 200-day simple moving average ($3.42). Across its 52-week range of $1.50 to $5.08, WTI sits at the 70.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($3.57 to $4.49).

WTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is WTI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, W&T Offshore Inc. (WTI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is WTI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.3% event move for WTI, spanning a range between $3.57 and $4.49.

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