Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.23 -0.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23

Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $76.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23 (-0.34%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (9)SEC (4)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE WRAP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WRAP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WRAP SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$1.42-10.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$1.27-3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$1.22+0.8% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$1.23-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WRAP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WRAP currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.46) and Max Pain ($1.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.39.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WRAP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WRAP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WRAP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WRAP.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WRAP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of WRAP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WRAP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.22H $1.27L $1.18C $1.23VOL 310.0K
RES: $1.50SUP: $1.10SMA50: $1.46SMA200: $1.61
$2.85$2.36$1.87$1.38$0.89RES $1.50SUP $1.10$1.232026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WRAP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WRAP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WRAP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WRAP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WRAP)

Industrials Rank #445 of 485 ⚔️ FBDT vs WRAP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WRAP vs. FBDT, POWW, RGR, SWBI)

Industry: Ordnance And Accessories (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) ranks #445 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #386 by equity capitalization ($76.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SWBI leads on earnings valuation at 39.8x trailing P/E, while SWBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.7% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. SWBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with WRAP at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WRAP ACTIVE
Wrap Technologies Inc.
E 31/100 — 57.8% -35.0% -0.81% $76.3M Benchmark Subject
FBDT
First Breach Inc.
E 27/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -3.51% $53.0M /fbdt-vs-wrap →
POWW
Outdoor Holding Company
D- 37/100 — 87.2% -3.0% -0.42% $276.2M /poww-vs-wrap →
RGR
Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.
D 49/100 — 14.9% -3.7% -1.31% $731.5M /rgr-vs-wrap →
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands Inc.
C+ 67/100 39.8x 26.9% 6.7% -1.66% $735.4M /swbi-vs-wrap →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001702924

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) reported GAAP revenue of $4.7M (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.5M , and -23.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.3M, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.4M (-27.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, WRAP closed FY2025 with $15.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.7M -$10.3M -$10.3M -$10.4M $15.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.5M -$5.9M -$8.1M -$8.1M $15.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.1M -$30.2M -$16.7M -$16.7M — —

3. WRAP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WRAP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Wrap Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: WRAP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (-0.81% 1D, market cap $76.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WRAP ranks #445 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WRAP compare to FBDT and POWW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Ordnance And Accessories), WRAP carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FBDT (First Breach Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.0M) and POWW (Outdoor Holding Company) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $276.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SWBI leads on earnings multiple (39.8x) while SWBI leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WRAP?

Per WRAP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001702924), Wrap Technologies Inc. generated $4.7M in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$10.3M in net income, and -$10.4M in free cash flow against $15.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WRAP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WRAP last traded at $1.23 (-0.81% on volume of 145,765 shares), positioning the stock -15.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.46) and -23.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.61). Across its 52-week range of $1.04 to $3.23, WRAP sits at the 8.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.08 to $1.38).

WRAP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is WRAP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for WRAP.

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