CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Can Axon Stock Jump 50%?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Why WRAP Stock slipped -0.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.23 -0.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23
Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $76.3M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is WRAP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Wrap Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: WRAP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (-0.81% 1D, market cap $76.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WRAP ranks #445 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does WRAP compare to FBDT and POWW in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Ordnance And Accessories), WRAP carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FBDT (First Breach Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.0M) and POWW (Outdoor Holding Company) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $276.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SWBI leads on earnings multiple (39.8x) while SWBI leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WRAP?
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Per WRAP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001702924), Wrap Technologies Inc. generated $4.7M in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$10.3M in net income, and -$10.4M in free cash flow against $15.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23 (-0.34%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WRAP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WRAP SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (32% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (29% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$1.42-10.6% Next Q
39
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$1.27-3.9% Next Q
36
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$1.22+0.8% Next Q
34
CurrentGrade E$1.23-9.4% Hist 90D α
31
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WRAP Turnaround Squeeze
While WRAP currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.46) and Max Pain ($1.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.39.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WRAP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WRAP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why WRAP Stock slipped -0.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) slipped -0.81% to $1.23, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($1.04 – $3.23). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($1.04 – $3.23) with RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.23 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 57.8% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live WRAP Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Is Axon Stock Increasing Your Market Risk?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 12d ago
Has Buying Axon Stock's Dips Paid Off?Axon Enterprise (AXON) shares declined 16.6% between their September 22 close and October 19, 2026. The sharpest daily loss took place on October 16, when the stock gave up 6.4%. A rapid slide leaves some investors looki
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WRAP)
- ✓Walkthrough of WRAP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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WRAP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.22H $1.27L $1.18C $1.23VOL 310.0K
RES: $1.50SUP: $1.10SMA50: $1.46SMA200: $1.61
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
WRAP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WRAP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WRAP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WRAP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WRAP)
Industrials Rank #445 of 485
⚔️ FBDT vs WRAP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WRAP vs. FBDT, POWW, RGR, SWBI)
Industry: Ordnance And Accessories (7 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) ranks #445 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #386 by equity capitalization ($76.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SWBI leads on earnings valuation at 39.8x trailing P/E, while SWBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.7% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. SWBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with WRAP at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRAP
ACTIVE
Wrap Technologies Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | 57.8% | -35.0% | -0.81% | $76.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| FBDT First Breach Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -3.51% | $53.0M | /fbdt-vs-wrap → |
| POWW Outdoor Holding Company | D- | 37/100 | — | 87.2% | -3.0% | -0.42% | $276.2M | /poww-vs-wrap → |
| RGR Sturm Ruger & Company Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | 14.9% | -3.7% | -1.31% | $731.5M | /rgr-vs-wrap → |
| SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 39.8x | 26.9% | 6.7% | -1.66% | $735.4M | /swbi-vs-wrap → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001702924In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) reported GAAP revenue of $4.7M (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.5M , and -23.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.3M, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.4M (-27.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, WRAP closed FY2025 with $15.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.7M | -$10.3M | -$10.3M | -$10.4M | $15.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.5M | -$5.9M | -$8.1M | -$8.1M | $15.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $6.1M | -$30.2M | -$16.7M | -$16.7M | — | — |
3. WRAP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs WRAP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Wrap Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: WRAP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (-0.81% 1D, market cap $76.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WRAP ranks #445 in composite RQD confidence.
How does WRAP compare to FBDT and POWW in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Ordnance And Accessories), WRAP carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FBDT (First Breach Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.0M) and POWW (Outdoor Holding Company) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $276.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SWBI leads on earnings multiple (39.8x) while SWBI leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WRAP?
Per WRAP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001702924), Wrap Technologies Inc. generated $4.7M in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$10.3M in net income, and -$10.4M in free cash flow against $15.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is WRAP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
WRAP last traded at $1.23 (-0.81% on volume of 145,765 shares), positioning the stock -15.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.46) and -23.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.61). Across its 52-week range of $1.04 to $3.23, WRAP sits at the 8.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.08 to $1.38).
WRAP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is WRAP stock moving today?
Why WRAP Stock slipped -0.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.