Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.23 -0.81% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23

Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $76.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23 (-0.34%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (9)SEC (4)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE WRAP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WRAP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY WRAP SCORES 31/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 9% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$1.42-10.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$1.27-3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$1.22+0.8% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$1.23-9.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (39) β†’ E (31)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WRAP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While WRAP currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.46) and Max Pain ($1.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.39.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WRAPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œWRAP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.630 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE9% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.23H: $3
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on WRAP

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

-35.0% ROIC with 57.8% gross margin and -13.62% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (20)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (37)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like WRAP
  • βœ“Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WRAP)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of WRAP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WRAP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.13%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.22H $1.27L $1.18C $1.23VOL 310.0K
RES: $1.50SUP: $1.10SMA50: $1.46SMA200: $1.61
$2.85$2.36$1.87$1.38$0.89RES $1.50SUP $1.10$1.232026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WRAP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WRAP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WRAP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WRAP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WRAP)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WRAP vs. FBDT, POWW, RGR, SWBI)

Industry: Ordnance And Accessories (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) ranks #445 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #386 by equity capitalization ($76.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SWBI leads on earnings valuation at 39.8x trailing P/E, while SWBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.7% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. SWBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with WRAP at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WRAP ACTIVE
Wrap Technologies Inc.
E 31/100 β€” 57.8% -35.0% -0.81% $76.3M Benchmark Subject
FBDT
First Breach Inc.
E 27/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -3.51% $53.0M /fbdt-vs-wrap β†’
POWW
Outdoor Holding Company
D- 37/100 β€” 87.2% -3.0% -0.42% $276.2M /poww-vs-wrap β†’
RGR
Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.
D 49/100 β€” 14.9% -3.7% -1.31% $731.5M /rgr-vs-wrap β†’
SWBI
Smith & Wesson Brands Inc.
C+ 67/100 39.8x 26.9% 6.7% -1.66% $735.4M /swbi-vs-wrap β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001702924

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) reported GAAP revenue of $4.7M (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.5M , and -23.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.3M, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.4M (-27.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, WRAP closed FY2025 with $15.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.7M -$10.3M -$10.3M -$10.4M $15.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.5M -$5.9M -$8.1M -$8.1M $15.1M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.1M -$30.2M -$16.7M -$16.7M β€” β€”

3. WRAP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WRAP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Wrap Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: WRAP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (-0.81% 1D, market cap $76.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WRAP ranks #445 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WRAP compare to FBDT and POWW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Ordnance And Accessories), WRAP carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FBDT (First Breach Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.0M) and POWW (Outdoor Holding Company) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $276.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SWBI leads on earnings multiple (39.8x) while SWBI leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WRAP?

Per WRAP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001702924), Wrap Technologies Inc. generated $4.7M in revenue (+3.7% YoY), -$10.3M in net income, and -$10.4M in free cash flow against $15.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WRAP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WRAP last traded at $1.23 (-0.81% on volume of 145,765 shares), positioning the stock -15.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.46) and -23.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.61). Across its 52-week range of $1.04 to $3.23, WRAP sits at the 8.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.08 to $1.38).

WRAP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell WRAP stock right now?

Wrap Technologies Inc. (WRAP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell β€” SELL) with 31/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is WRAP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

WRAP's 12-month base price target is $1.08 (range $0.84 to $3.39), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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