Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / WLDN / options

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Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$77.27 +1.60% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $77.68

Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (38% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.18B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $77.68 (+0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 10.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WLDN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY WLDN SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.90 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$75.12-3.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$72.23+0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$72.48+6.6% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$77.27+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WLDN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, WLDN faces multiple-compression risk if 22.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 35.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($78.57) or 200D SMA ($86.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($81.44) toward Bear Floor ($63.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WLDN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “WLDN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WLDN)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WLDN.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WLDN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WLDN
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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WLDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.67%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $76.28H $77.27L $73.43C $77.27VOL 119.5K

RES: $80.70SUP: $70.80SMA50: $78.57SMA200: $86.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WLDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WLDN Butterfly Map → + Track WLDN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WLDN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WLDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WLDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WLDN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #176 of 1011 ⚔️ MG vs WLDN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WLDN vs. MG, VSEC, STN, ACM)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) ranks #176 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #494 by equity capitalization ($1.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACM leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while ACM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 7.5% gross margin. WLDN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
WLDN ACTIVE Willdan Group Inc.	B-	70/100	22.4x	37.5%	12.2%	+1.60%	$1.18B	Benchmark Subject
MG Mistras Group Inc	D+	56/100	38.2x	28.2%	8.6%	-1.32%	$643.4M	/mg-vs-wldn →
VSEC VSE Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	4.3%	+6.10%	$4.35B	/vsec-vs-wldn →
STN Stantec Inc	D+	57/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+0.60%	$8.13B	/stn-vs-wldn →
ACM AECOM	D+	58/100	14.5x	7.5%	16.3%	+1.99%	$8.17B	/acm-vs-wldn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001370450

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Willdan Group Inc. (WLDN) reported GAAP revenue of $681.6M (+20.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $565.8M , and +33.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.6M, operating cash flow of $80.1M, and free cash flow of $70.7M (+11.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, WLDN closed FY2025 with $544.2M in total assets against $46.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.90, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-02	$681.6M	$52.6M	$80.1M	$70.7M	$544.2M	$46.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-27	$565.8M	$22.6M	$72.1M	$63.7M	$464.9M	$79.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-29	$510.1M	$10.9M	$39.2M	$39.2M	—	—

3. WLDN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WLDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Willdan Group Inc. (NASDAQ: WLDN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $77.27 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $1.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WLDN ranks #176 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WLDN compare to MG and VSEC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Military/Government/Technical), WLDN carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.4x, gross margin of 37.5%, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, MG (Mistras Group Inc) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $643.4M) and VSEC (VSE Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.3%, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACM leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ACM leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WLDN?

Per WLDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001370450), Willdan Group Inc. generated $681.6M in revenue (+20.5% YoY), $52.6M in net income, and $70.7M in free cash flow against $544.2M in total assets and $46.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WLDN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WLDN last traded at $77.27 (+1.60% on volume of 162,310 shares), positioning the stock -1.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($78.57) and -10.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($86.81). Across its 52-week range of $64.67 to $137.00, WLDN sits at the 17.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($71.09 to $83.45).

WLDN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is WLDN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for WLDN.

Direct Sub-Reports: WLDN RQD Cockpit WLDN 12M Forecast WLDN Earnings & Move WLDN Dividends & DRIP WLDN Insiders & 13F WLDN Whale Options WLDN Profit Sankey WLDN News & Why