WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) (WHK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.6% Move

$26.38 -2.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.22

WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) (WHK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $802.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.22 (-0.60%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 20.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$31 Bull$25 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE WHK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WHK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WHK SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.1% FCF Margin ($13.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 46% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$26.25-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$25.96-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$25.54+3.3% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$26.38-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WHK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WHK currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($26.49) and Max Pain ($27.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.52.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WHK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WHK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.6% Swing Band

±$1.74 Expected Swing
$24.64 (-6.6%)Spot $26.38$28.12 (+6.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

WHK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 180%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$67.6M-$3.6M$13.6M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$9.4M-$11.6M$9.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WHK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of WHK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WHK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $26.18H $26.57L $25.69C $26.38VOL 80.7K
RES: $29.39SUP: $23.50SMA50: $26.49SMA200: $26.51
$29.42$27.97$26.51$25.06$23.61RES $29.39SUP $23.50$26.382026-06-092026-07-162026-08-202026-09-252026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WHK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
40.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WHK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WHK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WHK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WHK)

Energy Rank #148 of 211 ⚔️ OBE vs WHK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (WHK vs. OBE, VTS, GRNT, TTI)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) (WHK) ranks #148 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #143 by equity capitalization ($802.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VTS leads on earnings valuation at 30.5x trailing P/E, while TTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.3% ROIC and 26.4% gross margin. TTI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with WHK at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WHK ACTIVE
WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A)
D 50/100 — — 7.4% -2.26% $802.5M Benchmark Subject
OBE
Obsidian Energy Ltd.
D+ 52/100 — — — -0.93% $779.4M /obe-vs-whk →
VTS
Vitesse Energy Inc.
D+ 57/100 30.5x — 2.2% +0.11% $770.5M /vts-vs-whk →
GRNT
Granite Ridge Resources Inc.
D+ 57/100 31.3x — 3.8% -0.34% $763.7M /grnt-vs-whk →
TTI
Tetra Technologies Inc.
C+ 67/100 — 26.4% 11.3% -0.99% $884.0M /tti-vs-whk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001921603

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) (WHK) reported GAAP revenue of $67.6M (+615.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.4M ) , GAAP net income of -$3.6M, operating cash flow of $13.6M, and free cash flow of $13.6M (+43.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, WHK closed FY2025 with $507.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $67.6M -$3.6M $13.6M $13.6M $507.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.4M -$11.6M $9.4M $9.4M $165.9M —

3. WHK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WHK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) (NYSE: WHK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $26.38 (-2.26% 1D, market cap $802.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, WHK ranks #148 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WHK compare to OBE and VTS in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), WHK carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.4%. By comparison, OBE (Obsidian Energy Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $779.4M) and VTS (Vitesse Energy Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 30.5x, ROIC 2.2%, cap $770.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VTS leads on earnings multiple (30.5x) while TTI leads on capital efficiency (11.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WHK?

Per WHK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001921603), WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) generated $67.6M in revenue (+615.3% YoY), -$3.6M in net income, and $13.6M in free cash flow against $507.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WHK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WHK last traded at $26.38 (-2.26% on volume of 129,601 shares), positioning the stock -0.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.49) and -0.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.51). Across its 52-week range of $24.06 to $29.07, WHK sits at the 46.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($24.64 to $28.12).

WHK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is WHK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, WhiteHawk Minerals Corp (Class A) (WHK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is WHK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.6% event move for WHK, spanning a range between $24.64 and $28.12.

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