MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why WFG Stock slipped -0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$68.19 -0.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $67.98
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd (WFG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $5.34B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $67.98 (-0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WFG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WFG SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 55% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$64.25+1.8% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$65.40+6.6% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$69.74-2.2% Next Q
56
CurrentGrade C-$68.19+0.2% Hist 90D α
59
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WFG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, WFG faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($68.29) or 200D SMA ($67.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($68.50) toward Bear Floor ($53.43).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WFG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WFG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why WFG Stock slipped -0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd (WFG) slipped -0.68% to $68.19, trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($57.34 – $76.99). Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($57.34 – $76.99) with RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.7% around $68.19 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $149.5M annual free cash flow.
Live WFG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WFG Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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WFG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.71%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $68.01H $68.78L $65.76C $68.19VOL 225.9K
RES: $75.31SUP: $62.19SMA50: $68.29SMA200: $67.25
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
WFG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WFG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WFG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WFG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WFG)
Materials Rank #65 of 270
⚔️ FBIN vs WFG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (WFG vs. FBIN, TREX, LPX, UFPI)
Industry: Forest Products (7 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd (WFG) ranks #65 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #71 by equity capitalization ($5.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBIN leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while TREX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 39.2% gross margin. TREX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with WFG at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WFG
ACTIVE
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | -0.68% | $5.34B | Benchmark Subject |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. | C | 62/100 | 13.1x | 44.6% | 8.7% | +4.75% | $5.27B | /fbin-vs-wfg → |
| TREX Trex Company Inc. | B+ | 78/100 | 27.2x | 39.2% | 16.9% | +2.64% | $5.18B | /trex-vs-wfg → |
| LPX Louisiana-Pacific Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 35.2x | 21.8% | 9.2% | +4.85% | $5.14B | /lpx-vs-wfg → |
| UFPI UFP Industries Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 15.3x | 16.8% | 12.1% | +4.13% | $4.50B | /ufpi-vs-wfg → |
2. WFG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd (WFG) operates in Forest Products (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $5.34B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. WFG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs WFG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd (NYSE: WFG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $68.19 (-0.68% 1D, market cap $5.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, WFG ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.
How does WFG compare to FBIN and TREX in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Forest Products), WFG carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FBIN (Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 13.1x, ROIC 8.7%, cap $5.27B) and TREX (Trex Company Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 27.2x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $5.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBIN leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while TREX leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WFG?
For West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd (WFG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #65 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is WFG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
WFG last traded at $68.19 (-0.68% on volume of 233,785 shares), positioning the stock -0.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($68.29) and +1.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($67.25). Across its 52-week range of $57.34 to $76.99, WFG sits at the 55.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($63.62 to $72.76).
WFG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is WFG stock moving today?
Why WFG Stock slipped -0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.