Stock Ratings / Technology / WB / earnings

DJT (39) DV (70) TRIP (57) GRND (76) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Weibo Corporation (WB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.2% Move

$6.30 +1.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.31

Weibo Corporation (WB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.55B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Weibo Corporation (NASDAQ: WB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $6.30 (+1.94% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, WB ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WB compare to DJT and DV in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), WB carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.6%. By comparison, DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.9%, cap $1.61B) and DV (DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 41.5x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $2.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRND leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while GRND leads on capital efficiency (29.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WB?

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Per WB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001595761), Weibo Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $449.0M in net income, and $477.1M in free cash flow against $7.09B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.31 (+0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 11.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY WB SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.9% FCF Margin ($477.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$6.54-0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$6.49-4.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$6.20+1.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C$6.30+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, WB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.57) or 200D SMA ($8.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.47) toward Bear Floor ($5.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WB• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “WB Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.2% Swing Band

±$0.26 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

WB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$449.0M	$477.1M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$300.8M	$578.4M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$342.6M	$672.8M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WB
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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WB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.09%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $6.18H $6.32L $6.18C $6.30VOL 892.2K

RES: $7.74SUP: $6.03SMA50: $6.57SMA200: $8.15

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WB Butterfly Map → + Track WB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WB)

Technology Rank #192 of 714 ⚔️ DJT vs WB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (WB vs. DJT, DV, TRIP, GRND)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Weibo Corporation (WB) ranks #192 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #323 by equity capitalization ($1.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRND leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while GRND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GRND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with WB at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
WB ACTIVE Weibo Corporation	C	64/100	—	—	22.6%	+1.94%	$1.55B	Benchmark Subject
DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.	D-	39/100	—	54.5%	-29.9%	-3.18%	$1.61B	/djt-vs-wb →
DV DoubleVerify Holdings Inc.	B-	70/100	41.5x	82.2%	7.2%	+0.30%	$2.10B	/dv-vs-wb →
TRIP TripAdvisor Inc.	D+	57/100	27.0x	92.3%	13.0%	+3.13%	$1.08B	/trip-vs-wb →
GRND Grindr Inc.	B+	76/100	23.7x	—	29.7%	-0.54%	$2.24B	/grnd-vs-wb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001595761

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Weibo Corporation (WB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $449.0M, operating cash flow of $519.5M, and free cash flow of $477.1M (-17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WB closed FY2025 with $7.09B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$449.0M	$519.5M	$477.1M	$7.09B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$300.8M	$639.9M	$578.4M	$6.50B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$342.6M	$672.8M	$672.8M	—	—

3. WB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does WB compare to DJT and DV in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WB?

Where is WB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WB last traded at $6.30 (+1.94% on volume of 932,709 shares), positioning the stock -4.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.57) and -22.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.15). Across its 52-week range of $6.10 to $11.28, WB sits at the 3.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($6.04 to $6.56).