Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / VVX / financials

CTOS (61) MGRC (65) ABM (55) ARLO (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

V2X Inc. (VVX) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$80.52 +4.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.95

V2X Inc. (VVX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.52B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.95 (+0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 4.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VVX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VVX SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.48 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4.3% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$71.44-1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$70.17+5.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$74.09+8.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C$80.52+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VVX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, VVX faces multiple-compression risk if 32.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($73.94) or 200D SMA ($73.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($82.33) toward Bear Floor ($64.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VVX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VVX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How VVX Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$182.0M (4.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $3.96B

FY24

Rev $4.32B

FY25

Rev $4.48B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$4.48B	8.3%	4.3%	$77.9M	$182.0M	7.1%
FY 2024	$4.32B	7.9%	3.7%	$34.7M	$254.2M	6%
FY 2023	$3.96B	8.3%	3.1%	-$22.6M	$188.0M	7.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VVX)

✓Walkthrough of VVX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

VVX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.74%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $80.26H $82.39L $79.50C $80.52VOL 423.2K

RES: $98.14SUP: $64.70SMA50: $73.94SMA200: $73.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VVX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VVX Butterfly Map → + Track VVX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VVX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VVX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VVX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VVX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #325 of 1011 ⚔️ CTOS vs VVX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VVX vs. CTOS, MGRC, ABM, ARLO)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, V2X Inc. (VVX) ranks #325 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #387 by equity capitalization ($2.52B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGRC leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while MGRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and 48.2% gross margin. ARLO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with VVX at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VVX ACTIVE V2X Inc.	C	63/100	32.4x	8.3%	7.1%	+4.02%	$2.52B	Benchmark Subject
CTOS Custom Truck One Source Inc.	C-	61/100	—	28.5%	4.1%	+1.39%	$2.48B	/ctos-vs-vvx →
MGRC McGrath RentCorp	C	65/100	18.6x	48.2%	15.6%	+0.69%	$2.91B	/mgrc-vs-vvx →
ABM ABM Industries Incorporated	D+	55/100	19.5x	12.3%	7.6%	+1.18%	$3.16B	/abm-vs-vvx →
ARLO Arlo Technologies Inc.	C+	68/100	106.3x	44.0%	6.0%	+8.14%	$1.59B	/arlo-vs-vvx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001601548

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), V2X Inc. (VVX) reported GAAP revenue of $4.48B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.32B , and +13.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $77.9M, operating cash flow of $182.0M, and free cash flow of $182.0M (-28.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, VVX closed FY2025 with $3.27B in total assets against $1.08B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.48, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.48B	$77.9M	$182.0M	$182.0M	$3.27B	$1.08B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.32B	$34.7M	$254.2M	$254.2M	$3.23B	$1.09B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.96B	-$22.6M	$188.0M	$188.0M	—	—

3. VVX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VVX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, V2X Inc. (NYSE: VVX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $80.52 (+4.02% 1D, market cap $2.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VVX ranks #325 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VVX compare to CTOS and MGRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), VVX carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.4x, gross margin of 8.3%, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, CTOS (Custom Truck One Source Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.48B) and MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $2.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGRC leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while MGRC leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VVX?

Per VVX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001601548), V2X Inc. generated $4.48B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $77.9M in net income, and $182.0M in free cash flow against $3.27B in total assets and $1.08B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VVX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VVX last traded at $80.52 (+4.02% on volume of 326,937 shares), positioning the stock +8.90% above its 50-day simple moving average ($73.94) and +9.03% above its 200-day simple moving average ($73.85). Across its 52-week range of $50.89 to $93.98, VVX sits at the 68.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($74.24 to $86.80).