Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / VTOL / forecast

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Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$42.05 +1.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.26

Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.25B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.26 (+0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 13.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VTOL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VTOL SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 46% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 10.7% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$40.69-5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$38.64+4.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$40.54+3.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B$42.05+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VTOL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, VTOL faces multiple-compression risk if 9.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.88) or 200D SMA ($44.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($44.70) toward Bear Floor ($34.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VTOL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VTOL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your VTOL Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $42.05: 237.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $34.48

$8,200

$-1,800 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $44.70

$10,630

+$630 (+6.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $52.90

$12,580

+$2,580 (+25.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$46	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$50	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$40	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VTOL Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

VTOL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.41%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $41.68H $42.50L $41.68C $42.05VOL 123.6K

RES: $45.35SUP: $36.93SMA50: $41.88SMA200: $44.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VTOL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VTOL Butterfly Map → + Track VTOL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-1.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VTOL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VTOL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VTOL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VTOL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #133 of 1011 ⚔️ LIND vs VTOL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VTOL vs. LIND, GMRS, VRRM, SPCE)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) ranks #133 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #484 by equity capitalization ($1.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VRRM leads on earnings valuation at 3.7x trailing P/E, while LIND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and — gross margin. VTOL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VTOL ACTIVE Bristow Group Inc.	B	72/100	9.7x	—	8.9%	+1.47%	$1.25B	Benchmark Subject
LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc.	C+	68/100	—	—	29.3%	+4.36%	$2.45B	/lind-vs-vtol →
GMRS GMR Solutions Inc. (Class A)	D+	56/100	—	—	—	+4.58%	$616.9M	/gmrs-vs-vtol →
VRRM Verra Mobility Corporation (Class A)	C-	61/100	3.7x	—	15.1%	+6.37%	$507.6M	/vrrm-vs-vtol →
SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc.	E	32/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	+2.63%	$413.9M	/spce-vs-vtol →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001525221

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) reported GAAP revenue of $1.49B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.42B , and +17.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $129.1M, operating cash flow of $198.4M, and free cash flow of $198.4M (+11.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, VTOL closed FY2025 with $2.31B in total assets against $643.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.49B	$129.1M	$198.4M	$198.4M	$2.31B	$643.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.42B	$94.8M	$177.4M	$177.4M	$2.13B	$671.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.26B	-$6.8M	$32.0M	$32.0M	—	—

3. VTOL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VTOL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bristow Group Inc. (NYSE: VTOL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $42.05 (+1.47% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VTOL ranks #133 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VTOL compare to LIND and GMRS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), VTOL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, LIND (Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.3%, cap $2.45B) and GMRS (GMR Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $616.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VRRM leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while LIND leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VTOL?

Per VTOL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001525221), Bristow Group Inc. generated $1.49B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), $129.1M in net income, and $198.4M in free cash flow against $2.31B in total assets and $643.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VTOL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VTOL last traded at $42.05 (+1.47% on volume of 171,451 shares), positioning the stock +0.41% above its 50-day simple moving average ($41.88) and -4.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.05). Across its 52-week range of $35.03 to $50.38, VTOL sits at the 45.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($38.81 to $45.29).

VTOL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is VTOL's 12-month stock price target?

Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $44.7 (+6.3% from $42.05), with a bull-case target of $52.9 and a bear-case floor of $34.48.

Is VTOL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates VTOL B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 72/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: VTOL RQD Cockpit VTOL 12M Forecast VTOL Earnings & Move VTOL Dividends & DRIP VTOL Insiders & 13F VTOL Whale Options VTOL Profit Sankey VTOL News & Why