Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / VNCE / dividends

TLYS (31) DLTH (50) CURV (42) ZUMZ (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$10.60 -7.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.44

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $137.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on VNCE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VNCE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Vince Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: VNCE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $10.60 (-7.10% 1D, market cap $137.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VNCE ranks #751 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VNCE compare to TLYS and DLTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), VNCE carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, TLYS (Tilly's Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $132.7M) and DLTH (Duluth Holdings Inc. (Class B)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.3%, cap $167.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZUMZ leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while CURV leads on capital efficiency (74.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VNCE?

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Per VNCE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001579157), Vince Holding Corp. generated $300.0M in revenue (+2.2% YoY), $6.38B in net income, and $3.0M in free cash flow against $225.0M in total assets and $19.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.44 (-1.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VNCE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VNCE SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$11.09+16% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$12.86-7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$11.94-11.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.60-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VNCE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VNCE currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.62) and Max Pain ($11.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VNCE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VNCE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VNCE)

✓Walkthrough of VNCE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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VNCE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +112.42%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $10.74H $10.84L $10.02C $10.60VOL 244.4K

RES: $14.62SUP: $5.32SMA50: $9.62SMA200: $5.65

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VNCE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VNCE Butterfly Map → + Track VNCE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VNCE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VNCE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VNCE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VNCE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #751 of 1011 ⚔️ TLYS vs VNCE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VNCE vs. TLYS, DLTH, CURV, ZUMZ)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) ranks #751 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #734 by equity capitalization ($137.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZUMZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while CURV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 74.0% ROIC and 34.8% gross margin. ZUMZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with VNCE at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VNCE ACTIVE Vince Holding Corp.	D	45/100	—	—	10.6%	-7.10%	$137.2M	Benchmark Subject
TLYS Tilly's Inc.	E	31/100	—	29.7%	-35.0%	-0.46%	$132.7M	/tlys-vs-vnce →
DLTH Duluth Holdings Inc. (Class B)	D	50/100	—	53.4%	-5.3%	+4.02%	$167.2M	/dlth-vs-vnce →
CURV Torrid Holdings Inc.	D-	42/100	—	34.8%	74.0%	+4.72%	$221.4M	/curv-vs-vnce →
ZUMZ Zumiez Inc.	B-	70/100	17.3x	35.8%	6.9%	+6.55%	$231.8M	/zumz-vs-vnce →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001579157

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) reported GAAP revenue of $300.0M (+2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $293.5M , and +2.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $6.38B, operating cash flow of $3.0M, and free cash flow of $3.0M (-86.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, VNCE closed FY2025 with $225.0M in total assets against $19.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$300.0M	$6.38B	$3.0M	$3.0M	$225.0M	$19.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$293.5M	-$19.05B	$22.1M	$22.1M	$222.7M	$19.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$292.9M	$25.43B	$1.6M	$1.6M	—	—

3. VNCE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VNCE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does VNCE compare to TLYS and DLTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VNCE?

Where is VNCE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VNCE last traded at $10.60 (-7.10% on volume of 259,200 shares), positioning the stock +10.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.62) and +87.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.65). Across its 52-week range of $1.95 to $13.78, VNCE sits at the 73.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.28 to $11.92).

VNCE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does VNCE pay a dividend and is it safe?

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: VNCE RQD Cockpit VNCE 12M Forecast VNCE Earnings & Move VNCE Dividends & DRIP VNCE Insiders & 13F VNCE Whale Options VNCE Profit Sankey VNCE News & Why