Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / VNCE

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Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.60 -7.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.44

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $137.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.44 (-1.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VNCE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VNCE SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$11.09+16% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$12.86-7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$11.94-11.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.60-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VNCE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VNCE currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.62) and Max Pain ($11.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VNCE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VNCE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE73% OF RANGE

L: $2$10.60H: $14

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on VNCE

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

10.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.18% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (42)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VNCE

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VNCE)

✓Walkthrough of VNCE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

VNCE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +112.42%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $10.74H $10.84L $10.02C $10.60VOL 244.4K

RES: $14.62SUP: $5.32SMA50: $9.62SMA200: $5.65

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VNCE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VNCE Butterfly Map → + Track VNCE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VNCE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VNCE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VNCE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VNCE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #751 of 1011 ⚔️ TLYS vs VNCE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VNCE vs. TLYS, DLTH, CURV, ZUMZ)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) ranks #751 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #734 by equity capitalization ($137.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZUMZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.3x trailing P/E, while CURV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 74.0% ROIC and 34.8% gross margin. ZUMZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with VNCE at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VNCE ACTIVE Vince Holding Corp.	D	45/100	—	—	10.6%	-7.10%	$137.2M	Benchmark Subject
TLYS Tilly's Inc.	E	31/100	—	29.7%	-35.0%	-0.46%	$132.7M	/tlys-vs-vnce →
DLTH Duluth Holdings Inc. (Class B)	D	50/100	—	53.4%	-5.3%	+4.02%	$167.2M	/dlth-vs-vnce →
CURV Torrid Holdings Inc.	D-	42/100	—	34.8%	74.0%	+4.72%	$221.4M	/curv-vs-vnce →
ZUMZ Zumiez Inc.	B-	70/100	17.3x	35.8%	6.9%	+6.55%	$231.8M	/zumz-vs-vnce →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001579157

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) reported GAAP revenue of $300.0M (+2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $293.5M , and +2.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $6.38B, operating cash flow of $3.0M, and free cash flow of $3.0M (-86.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, VNCE closed FY2025 with $225.0M in total assets against $19.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$300.0M	$6.38B	$3.0M	$3.0M	$225.0M	$19.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$293.5M	-$19.05B	$22.1M	$22.1M	$222.7M	$19.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$292.9M	$25.43B	$1.6M	$1.6M	—	—

3. VNCE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VNCE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Vince Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: VNCE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $10.60 (-7.10% 1D, market cap $137.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VNCE ranks #751 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VNCE compare to TLYS and DLTH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), VNCE carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, TLYS (Tilly's Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $132.7M) and DLTH (Duluth Holdings Inc. (Class B)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.3%, cap $167.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZUMZ leads on earnings multiple (17.3x) while CURV leads on capital efficiency (74.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VNCE?

Per VNCE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001579157), Vince Holding Corp. generated $300.0M in revenue (+2.2% YoY), $6.38B in net income, and $3.0M in free cash flow against $225.0M in total assets and $19.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VNCE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VNCE last traded at $10.60 (-7.10% on volume of 259,200 shares), positioning the stock +10.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.62) and +87.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.65). Across its 52-week range of $1.95 to $13.78, VNCE sits at the 73.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.28 to $11.92).

VNCE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell VNCE stock right now?

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is VNCE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

VNCE's 12-month base price target is $9.98 (range $7.78 to $14.47), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: VNCE RQD Cockpit VNCE 12M Forecast VNCE Earnings & Move VNCE Dividends & DRIP VNCE Insiders & 13F VNCE Whale Options VNCE Profit Sankey VNCE News & Why