Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / VLRS / options

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Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates (VLRS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$6.20 +1.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.21

Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates (VLRS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $720.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.21 (+0.11%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VLRS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VLRS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$6.23-5.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$5.88-3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$5.68+9.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$6.20+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VLRS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, VLRS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.42) or 200D SMA ($7.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.31) toward Bear Floor ($4.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VLRS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VLRS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (VLRS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for VLRS.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating VLRS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on VLRS
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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VLRS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.33%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $6.08H $6.42L $6.04C $6.20VOL 736.7K

RES: $6.29SUP: $5.36SMA50: $6.42SMA200: $7.70

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VLRS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VLRS Butterfly Map → + Track VLRS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VLRS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VLRS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VLRS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VLRS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #360 of 1011 ⚔️ AZUL vs VLRS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VLRS vs. AZUL, RJET, JBLU, ULCC)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates (VLRS) ranks #360 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #550 by equity capitalization ($720.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RJET leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while RJET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. VLRS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VLRS ACTIVE Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates	C	62/100	—	—	—	+1.64%	$720.4M	Benchmark Subject
AZUL Azul S.A. each representing two (2)	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+2.39%	$773.6M	/azul-vs-vlrs →
RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc.	D+	52/100	12.3x	—	11.1%	+8.06%	$935.0M	/rjet-vs-vlrs →
JBLU JetBlue Airways Corporation	D-	41/100	—	—	-35.0%	+7.02%	$1.15B	/jblu-vs-vlrs →
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-35.0%	+5.02%	$1.49B	/ulcc-vs-vlrs →

2. VLRS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates (VLRS) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $720.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. VLRS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VLRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates (NYSE: VLRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $6.20 (+1.64% 1D, market cap $720.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VLRS ranks #360 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VLRS compare to AZUL and RJET in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), VLRS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, AZUL (Azul S.A. each representing two (2)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $773.6M) and RJET (Republic Airways Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 12.3x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $935.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJET leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while RJET leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VLRS?

For Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion S.A.B. de C.V. each representing ten (10) Ordinary Participation Certificates (VLRS), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #360 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VLRS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VLRS last traded at $6.20 (+1.64% on volume of 1,862,517 shares), positioning the stock -3.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.42) and -19.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.70). Across its 52-week range of $5.46 to $10.80, VLRS sits at the 13.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($5.66 to $6.74).

VLRS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is VLRS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for VLRS.

Direct Sub-Reports: VLRS RQD Cockpit VLRS 12M Forecast VLRS Earnings & Move VLRS Dividends & DRIP VLRS Insiders & 13F VLRS Whale Options VLRS Profit Sankey VLRS News & Why