MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Sidus Space shares are trading lower after the company announced the pricing of its $58.5 million offering of 13,453,700 shares at $4.35 per share.Why VELO Stock advanced +1.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.07 +1.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.07
Velo3D Inc. (VELO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $227.3M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.07 (+0.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VELO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VELO SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (31% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$8.67-21.6% Next Q
50
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$6.80-2.4% Next Q
47
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$6.64+6.5% Next Q
45
CurrentGrade D-$7.07-7% Hist 90D α
42
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VELO Turnaround Squeeze
While VELO currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.79) and Max Pain ($7.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.34.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VELO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VELO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why VELO Stock advanced +1.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Velo3D Inc. (VELO) advanced +1.14% to $7.07, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($3.75 – $31.75). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($3.75 – $31.75) with RSI-14 at 33 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $7.07 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live VELO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 10d ago
Arxis IPO Opens For Trade AT $38/Share; IPO Priced At $28.00/Share On 40.5M SharesMARKET WIREBenzinga • 11d ago
MDA Space Launches MDA MIDNIGHT Maneuverable Spacecraft Platform Designed To Track, Counter, Capture And De-Orbit Low Earth Orbit Space AssetsON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VELO)
- ✓Walkthrough of VELO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
VELO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.54%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $6.59H $7.07L $6.24C $7.07VOL 1.37M
RES: $6.90SUP: $4.50SMA50: $9.79SMA200: $13.42
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
VELO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VELO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VELO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VELO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VELO)
Technology Rank #521 of 714
⚔️ ASYS vs VELO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (VELO vs. ASYS, SHMD, MPTI, ESP)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Velo3D Inc. (VELO) ranks #521 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #468 by equity capitalization ($227.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with VELO at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VELO
ACTIVE
Velo3D Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | -16.1% | -35.0% | +1.14% | $227.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| ASYS Amtech Systems Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | 34.0% | -35.0% | -0.07% | $239.5M | /asys-vs-velo → |
| SHMD SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A) | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -4.19% | $186.5M | /shmd-vs-velo → |
| MPTI M-tron Industries Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 35.5x | — | 19.2% | -0.56% | $300.0M | /mpti-vs-velo → |
| ESP Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. | B+ | 77/100 | 20.7x | 28.9% | 18.1% | +0.34% | $168.7M | /esp-vs-velo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001825079In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Velo3D Inc. (VELO) reported GAAP revenue of $46.0M (+12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.0M , and -40.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$71.4M, operating cash flow of -$27.3M, and free cash flow of -$30.0M (+8.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, VELO closed FY2025 with $105.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $46.0M | -$71.4M | -$27.3M | -$30.0M | $105.3M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $41.0M | -$69.7M | -$32.7M | -$32.7M | $89.2M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $77.4M | -$135.1M | -$105.6M | -$105.6M | — | — |
3. VELO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs VELO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Velo3D Inc. (NASDAQ: VELO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $7.07 (+1.14% 1D, market cap $227.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, VELO ranks #521 in composite RQD confidence.
How does VELO compare to ASYS and SHMD in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), VELO carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -16.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ASYS (Amtech Systems Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $239.5M) and SHMD (SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $186.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VELO?
Per VELO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001825079), Velo3D Inc. generated $46.0M in revenue (+12.1% YoY), -$71.4M in net income, and -$30.0M in free cash flow against $105.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is VELO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
VELO last traded at $7.07 (+1.14% on volume of 1,045,707 shares), positioning the stock -27.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.79) and -47.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.42). Across its 52-week range of $3.75 to $31.75, VELO sits at the 11.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.19 to $7.95).
VELO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is VELO stock moving today?
Why VELO Stock advanced +1.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.