Risk-off selling is hammering drone defense names far harder than the broader market, and the reasons behind which stocks fall the most reveal sharp differences in how these companies are built and who they serve.
Why UMAC Stock slipped -1.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Unusual Machines Inc. (UMAC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UMAC Turnaround Squeeze
While UMAC currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.68) and Max Pain ($18.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.68.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why UMAC Stock slipped -1.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Unusual Machines Inc. (UMAC) slipped -1.93% to $17.28, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($7.25 – $34.93). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($7.25 – $34.93) with RSI-14 at 32.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $17.28 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 34.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Asure Software, Inc. (ASUR) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +10.53% and +2.59%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
SpaceX initiation, Apple downgrade among today's top calls on Wall Street
Piper Sandler analyst Clarke Jeffries maintains Unusual Machines (AMEX:UMAC) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $38 to $29.
Conference call scheduled for 4:30 p. ET on Thursday, November 5, 2026ORLANDO, FL / ACCESS Newswire / October 22, 2026 / (NYSE American:UMAC), a leading provider of NDAA-compliant drone components, today announced that i
Order Helps Powerus Scale Production of Autonomous and Counter-Drone Systems to Meet Growing DemandORLANDO, FL / ACCESS Newswire / October 22, 2026 / (NYSE American:UMAC), a leading manufacturer of NDAA-compliant drone c
Unusual Machines, Inc. (NYSE American:UMAC), a leading manufacturer of NDAA-compliant drone components, today announced that it has received a $16.9 million purchase order from Powerus Corporation (NASDAQ:PUSA), a U.S.
Adds high-performance battery and power systems to Unusual Machines' portfolio of critical drone componentsORLANDO, FL / ACCESS Newswire / October 19, 2026 / (NYSE American:UMAC), a leading manufacturer of NDAA-compliant
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UMAC)
- ✓Walkthrough of UMAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
UMAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +101.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UMAC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UMAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UMAC)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (UMAC vs. BKSY, HLIT, GILT, SATL)
Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Unusual Machines Inc. (UMAC) ranks #684 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #364 by equity capitalization ($863.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILT leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while GILT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.6% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. GILT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with UMAC at 28/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMAC
ACTIVE
Unusual Machines Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 34.9% | -27.7% | -1.93% | $863.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| BKSY BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) | E | 32/100 | — | — | -15.1% | +0.47% | $785.8M | /bksy-vs-umac → |
| HLIT Harmonic Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | 48.5% | 3.0% | +0.65% | $1.18B | /hlit-vs-umac → |
| GILT Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. | C- | 59/100 | 29.3x | 29.5% | 5.6% | +1.77% | $607.5M | /gilt-vs-umac → |
| SATL Satellogic Inc. (Class A) | E | 23/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.84% | $575.0M | /satl-vs-umac → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001956955In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Unusual Machines Inc. (UMAC) reported GAAP revenue of $11.2M (+101.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.6M ) , GAAP net income of -$19.2M, operating cash flow of -$21.2M, and free cash flow of -$23.2M (-481.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, UMAC closed FY2025 with $182.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $11.2M | -$19.2M | -$21.2M | -$23.2M | $182.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $5.6M | -$32.0M | -$4.0M | -$4.0M | $16.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$2.4M | -$1.8M | -$1.8M | — | — |
3. UMAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs UMAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Unusual Machines Inc. (NYSE: UMAC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $17.28 (-1.93% 1D, market cap $863.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, UMAC ranks #684 in composite RQD confidence.
How does UMAC compare to BKSY and HLIT in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), UMAC carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 34.9%, and ROIC of -27.7%. By comparison, BKSY (BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.1%, cap $785.8M) and HLIT (Harmonic Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.0%, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UMAC?
Per UMAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001956955), Unusual Machines Inc. generated $11.2M in revenue (+101.2% YoY), -$19.2M in net income, and -$23.2M in free cash flow against $182.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is UMAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
UMAC last traded at $17.28 (-1.93% on volume of 1,705,404 shares), positioning the stock -20.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.68) and -10.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.20). Across its 52-week range of $7.25 to $34.93, UMAC sits at the 36.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($15.12 to $19.44).
UMAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is UMAC stock moving today?
Why UMAC Stock slipped -1.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.