Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ULTA / financials

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Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$648.28 +4.69% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 84/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (39% profit margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • STRONG BUY Cap $27.72B

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSTRONG BUY • A-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+11.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ULTA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ULTA Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$1.07B (8.6% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $11.21B

FY24

Rev $11.30B

FY25

Rev $12.39B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$12.39B	39.1%	12.4%	$1.15B	$1.07B	28.4%
FY 2024	$11.30B	38.8%	13.9%	$1.20B	$964.1M	36.7%
FY 2023	$11.21B	39.1%	15%	$1.29B	$971.9M	14.4%

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ULTA)

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ULTA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.15%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-01O $619.2H $648.3L $619.2C $648.3VOL 601.5K

RES: $632.0SUP: $566.7SMA50: $567.4SMA200: $552.8

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ULTA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ULTA Butterfly Map → + Track ULTA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ULTA today. View full Setup Ledger →

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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ULTA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ULTA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #6 of 304 ⚔️ JD vs ULTA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ULTA vs. JD, DKS, FCFS, BBWI)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA) ranks #6 by composite RQD confidence (84/100, grade A-) and #72 by equity capitalization ($27.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBWI leads on earnings valuation at 7.1x trailing P/E, while BBWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 64.6% ROIC and 43.7% gross margin. ULTA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 84/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ULTA ACTIVE Ulta Beauty Inc.	A-	84/100	24.0x	39.1%	29.2%	+4.69%	$27.72B	Benchmark Subject
JD JD.com Inc.	E	30/100	111.2x	16.0%	0.9%	+0.71%	$34.45B	/jd-vs-ulta →
DKS Dick's Sporting Goods Inc	D+	55/100	14.9x	32.9%	11.2%	+4.28%	$12.63B	/dks-vs-ulta →
FCFS FirstCash Holdings Inc.	D+	58/100	24.4x	96.0%	7.3%	-1.16%	$8.06B	/fcfs-vs-ulta →
BBWI Bath & Body Works Inc.	A-	81/100	7.1x	43.7%	64.6%	+5.27%	$4.59B	/bbwi-vs-ulta →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001403568

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA) reported GAAP revenue of $12.39B (+9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.30B , and +10.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.15B, operating cash flow of $1.50B, and free cash flow of $1.07B (+10.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ULTA closed FY2025 with $7.00B in total assets against $1.89B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.96, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$12.39B	$1.15B	$1.50B	$1.07B	$7.00B	$1.89B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$11.30B	$1.20B	$1.34B	$964.1M	$6.00B	$1.58B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$11.21B	$1.29B	$1.48B	$971.9M	$15.25B	$3.57B

3. ULTA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ULTA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ulta Beauty Inc. (NASDAQ: ULTA) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 84/100 at a spot price of $648.28 (+4.69% 1D, market cap $27.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ULTA ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ULTA compare to JD and DKS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), ULTA carries a Roarable A- (84/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.0x, gross margin of 39.1%, and ROIC of 29.2%. By comparison, JD (JD.com Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E 111.2x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $34.45B) and DKS (Dick's Sporting Goods Inc) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $12.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBWI leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while BBWI leads on capital efficiency (64.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ULTA?

Per ULTA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001403568), Ulta Beauty Inc. generated $12.39B in revenue (+9.7% YoY), $1.15B in net income, and $1.07B in free cash flow against $7.00B in total assets and $1.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (39% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ULTA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ULTA last traded at $648.28 (+4.69% on volume of 601,457 shares), positioning the stock +14.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($567.38) and +17.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($552.81). Across its 52-week range of $443.60 to $714.97, ULTA sits at the 75.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($607.44 to $689.12).

ULTA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ULTA converted $12.4B of revenue into a 39.1% gross margin, 12.4% operating margin, and $1.1B in free cash flow (8.6% FCF margin).

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