Stock Ratings / Financials / UHT / forecast

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Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$38.25 +1.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.25

Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $526.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on UHT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Universal Health Realty Income Trust (NYSE: UHT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $38.25 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $526.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UHT ranks #417 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UHT compare to BDN and OLP in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), UHT carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.8%. By comparison, BDN (Brandywine Realty Trust) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.8%, cap $513.5M) and OLP (One Liberty Properties Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 13.3%, cap $491.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRTX leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while UHT leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UHT?

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Per UHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000798783), Universal Health Realty Income Trust generated $99.2M in revenue (+0.2% YoY), $17.6M in net income, and $49.1M in free cash flow against $564.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.25 (-0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 49.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UHT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY UHT SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 49.5% FCF Margin ($49.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$37.91-3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$36.70+2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$37.71+1.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$38.25+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UHT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, UHT faces multiple-compression risk if 29.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($39.01) or 200D SMA ($41.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.77) toward Bear Floor ($30.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UHT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “UHT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your UHT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $38.25: 261.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $30.24

$7,906

$-2,094 (-20.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $38.77

$10,136

+$136 (+1.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $48.62

$12,711

+$2,711 (+27.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$40	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$46	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$35	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UHT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

UHT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.04%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-02O $36.76H $38.25L $36.76C $38.25VOL 226.2K

RES: $37.79SUP: $35.67SMA50: $39.01SMA200: $41.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UHT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 UHT Butterfly Map → + Track UHT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

23.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UHT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UHT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UHT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UHT)

Financials Rank #417 of 1096 ⚔️ BDN vs UHT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (UHT vs. BDN, OLP, ABR, TRTX)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT) ranks #417 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #692 by equity capitalization ($526.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRTX leads on earnings valuation at 8.1x trailing P/E, while UHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and — gross margin. UHT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
UHT ACTIVE Universal Health Realty Income Trust	C-	61/100	29.9x	—	18.8%	+1.00%	$526.3M	Benchmark Subject
BDN Brandywine Realty Trust	D	51/100	—	—	2.8%	-1.32%	$513.5M	/bdn-vs-uht →
OLP One Liberty Properties Inc.	C-	59/100	19.3x	—	13.3%	-1.02%	$491.9M	/olp-vs-uht →
ABR Arbor Realty Trust	D-	38/100	—	—	5.6%	-29.14%	$563.4M	/abr-vs-uht →
TRTX TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.	D	51/100	8.1x	—	5.6%	+1.25%	$486.8M	/trtx-vs-uht →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000798783

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT) reported GAAP revenue of $99.2M (+0.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $99.0M , and +3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.6M, operating cash flow of $49.1M, and free cash flow of $49.1M (+4.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, UHT closed FY2025 with $564.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$99.2M	$17.6M	$49.1M	$49.1M	$564.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$99.0M	$19.2M	$46.9M	$46.9M	$580.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$95.6M	$15.4M	$42.9M	$42.9M	—	—

3. UHT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does UHT compare to BDN and OLP in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UHT?

Where is UHT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UHT last traded at $38.25 (+1.00% on volume of 124,146 shares), positioning the stock -1.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($39.01) and -6.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($41.08). Across its 52-week range of $36.07 to $46.30, UHT sits at the 21.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($36.07 to $40.43).

UHT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is UHT's 12-month stock price target?

Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $38.77 (+1.4% from $38.25), with a bull-case target of $48.62 and a bear-case floor of $30.24.

Is UHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates UHT C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 61/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: UHT RQD Cockpit UHT 12M Forecast UHT Earnings & Move UHT Dividends & DRIP UHT Insiders & 13F UHT Whale Options UHT Profit Sankey UHT News & Why