Yahoo Finance UK report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why UBCP Stock dropped -3.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is UBCP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, United Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: UBCP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $14.16 (-3.02% 1D, market cap $83.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UBCP ranks #441 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does UBCP compare to ASRV and PBHC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), UBCP carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, ASRV (AmeriServ Financial Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $83.7M) and PBHC (Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.6%, cap $81.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, UBCP leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while UBCP leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UBCP?
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Per UBCP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000731653), United Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $7.8M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $857.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UBCP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, UBCP faces multiple-compression risk if 10.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.90) or 200D SMA ($15.27) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($14.29) toward Bear Floor ($11.15).
Why UBCP Stock dropped -3.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) dropped -3.02% to $14.16, trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($12.55 – $17.34). Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 11x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($12.55 – $17.34) with RSI-14 at 48.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.5% around $14.16 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UBCP Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
UBCP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UBCP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UBCP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UBCP)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (UBCP vs. ASRV, PBHC, SSBI, AUBN)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) ranks #441 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #980 by equity capitalization ($83.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UBCP leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while UBCP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ASRV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with UBCP at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBCP
ACTIVE
United Bancorp Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 10.8x | — | 11.0% | -3.02% | $83.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| ASRV AmeriServ Financial Inc. | C | 63/100 | 14.9x | — | 4.7% | -0.41% | $83.7M | /asrv-vs-ubcp → |
| PBHC Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD) | D | 51/100 | — | — | -1.6% | +1.68% | $81.9M | /pbhc-vs-ubcp → |
| SSBI Summit State Bank | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | -2.97% | $78.6M | /ssbi-vs-ubcp → |
| AUBN Auburn National Bancorporation Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $89.6M | /aubn-vs-ubcp → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000731653In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $7.8M, operating cash flow of $10.5M, and free cash flow of -$1.3M (-6.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, UBCP closed FY2025 with $857.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $7.8M | $10.5M | -$1.3M | $857.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $7.4M | $8.4M | -$1.2M | $816.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $8.9M | $9.5M | $9.5M | — | — |
3. UBCP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs UBCP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, United Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: UBCP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $14.16 (-3.02% 1D, market cap $83.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UBCP ranks #441 in composite RQD confidence.
How does UBCP compare to ASRV and PBHC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), UBCP carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, ASRV (AmeriServ Financial Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $83.7M) and PBHC (Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.6%, cap $81.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, UBCP leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while UBCP leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UBCP?
Per UBCP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000731653), United Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $7.8M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $857.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is UBCP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
UBCP last traded at $14.16 (-3.02% on volume of 9,507 shares), positioning the stock -4.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.90) and -7.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.27). Across its 52-week range of $12.55 to $17.34, UBCP sits at the 33.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($12.96 to $15.36).
UBCP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is UBCP stock moving today?
Why UBCP Stock dropped -3.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 11x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
UBCP — United Bancorp Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, UBCP scores 60 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC 11%; FCF yield -1.58%), Whale 13F Flow at 13/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is the cash engine: the rating's own inputs show a negative FCF yield even while ROIC is 11%, so reported earnings are not translating into free cash flow on the figures provided. The forensic and insider/institutional pillars are mid-range rather than strong, and the macro pillar reflects a beta of 1.0. Upside drivers cited in the data are the 11% ROIC and the 6.55% dividend yield; the valuation tradeoff is a forward P/E of 10 set against a negative FCF yield. The rating is a cautious neutral, not a directional call.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $0.0M | $7.8M | N/A | $-1.3M | $46.5M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $0.0M | $7.4M | N/A | $-1.2M | $19.6M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $0.0M | $8.9M | N/A | $9.5M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, net income was $8.9M in FY 2023, $7.4M in FY 2024, and $7.8M in FY 2025, while free cash flow was $9.5M, $-1.2M, and $-1.3M over the same years. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, so margin trends cannot be assessed from the source. ROIC is 11% and the FCF yield is -1.58%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash rose from $19.6M to $46.5M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news feed contains six items, all tagged to UBCP. Two items are flagged RED/RISK WATCH or YELLOW, as follows: an ad-hoc-news.de item headlined that Weiss cut the rating to Hold (RED, RISK WATCH), a second ad-hoc-news.de item headlined that Weiss lowered the rating to Hold (YELLOW), and four further items are YELLOW market-wire notices from Yahoo Finance UK, a siam.in price-move item, TradingView, and Stock Traders Daily. The price-move item cites shares at $13.73, up 1.55%. The summaries are generic and do not contain substantive fundamental detail. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no supply chain (supply_chain: NONE), no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals.
Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership
Analyst data is NONE; no consensus rating or price targets are provided. Holders data is NONE; no SEC Form 4 insider, 13F whale, or Congressional trades are provided. The news feed references a rating change to Hold attributed to Weiss but does not provide a consensus or target.
Open Questions
- What are the revenue and operating income figures, which are reported as $0.0M in every period?
- Why does FCF turn negative in FY 2024 and FY 2025 when net income is positive?
- What drives the EV/EBITDA and debt figures, which are not available or N/A in the source?
- What is the basis for the Weiss rating change to Hold referenced in the news feed?
- What are the company's products, customers, and revenue model?
UBCP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance UK report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering United Bancorp Inc. (UBCP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
UBCP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.16?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is UBCP (C- • RQD 60/100) a Buy at $14.16?
Welcome to the UBCP (United Bancorp Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on UBCP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UBCP, but look at what you are paying: 10.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless United Bancorp Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
UBCP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UBCP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $14.16 (52-wk range $12.55 - $17.34), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.