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Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$28.32 +10.80% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.94

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 59% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.26B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.94 (+2.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 14.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TRN SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 70.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$25.52-1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$25.22+1.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$25.54+10.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B$28.32+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, TRN faces multiple-compression risk if 8.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.25) or 200D SMA ($31.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.23) toward Bear Floor ($23.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TRN Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TRN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TRN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TRN Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.16%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $28.92H $29.47L $28.01C $28.32VOL 1.54M

RES: $39.51SUP: $23.70SMA50: $27.25SMA200: $31.41

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRN Butterfly Map → + Track TRN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -30.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRN)

Industrials Rank #38 of 485 ⚔️ GBX vs TRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TRN vs. GBX, FIP, RAIL, WAB)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) ranks #38 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #203 by equity capitalization ($2.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TRN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TRN ACTIVE Trinity Industries Inc.	B	73/100	8.1x	—	58.6%	+10.80%	$2.26B	Benchmark Subject
GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc.	B	73/100	5.9x	18.7%	24.1%	+2.80%	$1.19B	/gbx-vs-trn →
FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	—	+2.13%	$339.2M	/fip-vs-trn →
RAIL FreightCar America Inc.	D	51/100	—	14.6%	27.5%	-0.12%	$137.1M	/rail-vs-trn →
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation	C	64/100	41.0x	34.1%	11.1%	+1.20%	$47.92B	/wab-vs-trn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000099780

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.16B (-30.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.08B , and -27.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $277.3M, operating cash flow of $359.7M, and free cash flow of $314.1M (-39.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRN closed FY2025 with $8.42B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.88, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.16B	$277.3M	$359.7M	$314.1M	$8.42B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.08B	$157.1M	$573.8M	$520.0M	$8.83B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.98B	$126.6M	$295.6M	$295.6M	—	—

3. TRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Trinity Industries Inc. (NYSE: TRN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $28.32 (+10.80% 1D, market cap $2.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TRN ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRN compare to GBX and FIP in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), TRN carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 58.6%. By comparison, GBX (Greenbrier Companies Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 24.1%, cap $1.19B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRN?

Per TRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000099780), Trinity Industries Inc. generated $2.16B in revenue (-30.0% YoY), $277.3M in net income, and $314.1M in free cash flow against $8.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRN last traded at $28.32 (+10.80% on volume of 1,601,114 shares), positioning the stock +3.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.25) and -9.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($31.41). Across its 52-week range of $24.28 to $38.31, TRN sits at the 28.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.9 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($26.39 to $30.25).

TRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are TRN insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies TRN leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: TRN RQD Cockpit TRN 12M Forecast TRN Earnings & Move TRN Dividends & DRIP TRN Insiders & 13F TRN Whale Options TRN Profit Sankey TRN News & Why