Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TNET / insiders

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TriNet Group Inc. (TNET) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$63.70 -9.53% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.49

TriNet Group Inc. (TNET) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.92B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.48 (-1.91%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 4.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNET)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TNET SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.7% FCF Margin ($234.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$65.45+8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$70.70+7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$75.78-15.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$63.70-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TNET Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, TNET faces multiple-compression risk if 18.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($67.71) or 200D SMA ($53.42) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($63.41) toward Bear Floor ($49.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNET• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TNET Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TNET Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TNET)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TNET. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TNET)

✓Walkthrough of TNET's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TNET // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.14%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $63.42H $66.00L $61.93C $63.70VOL 622.6K

RES: $77.12SUP: $68.14SMA50: $67.71SMA200: $53.42

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNET Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TNET Butterfly Map → + Track TNET →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNET today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNET. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNET today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNET)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #475 of 1011 ⚔️ CBZ vs TNET Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TNET vs. CBZ, FOUR, MMS, PAYO)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TriNet Group Inc. (TNET) ranks #475 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #366 by equity capitalization ($2.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MMS leads on earnings valuation at 10.3x trailing P/E, while TNET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MMS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with TNET at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TNET ACTIVE TriNet Group Inc.	D+	57/100	18.9x	—	85.0%	-9.53%	$2.92B	Benchmark Subject
CBZ CBIZ Inc.	B-	71/100	25.8x	12.9%	5.9%	+0.06%	$2.98B	/cbz-vs-tnet →
FOUR Shift4 Payments Inc. (Class A)	D+	56/100	21.1x	—	5.5%	+2.96%	$3.10B	/four-vs-tnet →
MMS Maximus Inc.	B+	76/100	10.3x	24.6%	13.5%	+1.67%	$3.29B	/mms-vs-tnet →
PAYO Payoneer Global Inc.	C+	66/100	33.0x	—	34.1%	0.00%	$2.41B	/payo-vs-tnet →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000937098

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TriNet Group Inc. (TNET) reported GAAP revenue of $5.01B (-0.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.05B , and +1.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $155.0M, operating cash flow of $303.0M, and free cash flow of $234.0M (+16.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TNET closed FY2025 with $3.80B in total assets against $895.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.01B	$155.0M	$303.0M	$234.0M	$3.80B	$895.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$5.05B	$173.0M	$279.0M	$201.0M	$4.12B	$908.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.92B	$375.0M	$539.0M	$539.0M	—	—

3. TNET Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TriNet Group Inc. (NYSE: TNET) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $63.70 (-9.53% 1D, market cap $2.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TNET ranks #475 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TNET compare to CBZ and FOUR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), TNET carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, CBZ (CBIZ Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $2.98B) and FOUR (Shift4 Payments Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $3.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MMS leads on earnings multiple (10.3x) while TNET leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNET?

Per TNET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000937098), TriNet Group Inc. generated $5.01B in revenue (-0.9% YoY), $155.0M in net income, and $234.0M in free cash flow against $3.80B in total assets and $895.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TNET trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNET last traded at $63.70 (-9.53% on volume of 716,936 shares), positioning the stock -5.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($67.71) and +19.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($53.42). Across its 52-week range of $33.61 to $76.59, TNET sits at the 70.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($57.65 to $69.75).

TNET Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are TNET insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies TNET leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: TNET RQD Cockpit TNET 12M Forecast TNET Earnings & Move TNET Dividends & DRIP TNET Insiders & 13F TNET Whale Options TNET Profit Sankey TNET News & Why