Stock Ratings / Technology / TEAD / earnings

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Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: Where is TEAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TEAD last traded at $0.30 (-12.20% on volume of 286,180 shares), positioning the stock -36.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.47) and -60.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.75). Across its 52-week range of $0.24 to $1.56, TEAD sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.34).

Q: When is TEAD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Teads Holding Co. (TEAD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is TEAD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for TEAD, spanning a range between $1 and $0.34.

$0.30 -12.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.29

Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $29.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TEAD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TEAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Teads Holding Co. (NASDAQ: TEAD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $0.30 (-12.20% 1D, market cap $29.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TEAD ranks #538 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TEAD compare to HOLO and GOAI in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TEAD carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HOLO (MicroCloud Hologram Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $27.0M) and GOAI (Eva Live Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 67.0%, cap $40.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TEAD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GOAI leads on capital efficiency (67.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEAD?

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Per TEAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001454938), Teads Holding Co. generated $1.30B in revenue (+46.1% YoY), -$517.1M in net income, and $2.0M in free cash flow against $1.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.29 (-2.39%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TEAD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TEAD SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$0.54-25.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.40-12.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$0.35-14.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$0.30-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TEAD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TEAD currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.47) and Max Pain ($0.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.64.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TEAD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TEAD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.04 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TEAD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 41/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 46.1%

Model Bullish Setup (41/100)Model Risk Weight (59/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.30B	-$517.1M	$2.0M	33%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$889.9M	-$711.0K	$61.2M	21.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$935.8M	$10.2M	$13.7M	33%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TEAD)

✓Walkthrough of TEAD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TEAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -65.52%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $0.29H $0.30L $0.24C $0.30VOL 570.1K

RES: $0.51SUP: $0.08SMA50: $0.47SMA200: $0.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TEAD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TEAD Butterfly Map → + Track TEAD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +46.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TEAD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TEAD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TEAD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TEAD)

Technology Rank #538 of 714 ⚔️ HOLO vs TEAD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TEAD vs. HOLO, GOAI, JG, MF)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) ranks #538 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #593 by equity capitalization ($29.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TEAD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GOAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.0% ROIC and — gross margin. GOAI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with TEAD at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TEAD ACTIVE Teads Holding Co.	D-	41/100	—	33.0%	-35.0%	-12.20%	$29.9M	Benchmark Subject
HOLO MicroCloud Hologram Inc.	D-	41/100	—	21.3%	0.2%	-3.28%	$27.0M	/holo-vs-tead →
GOAI Eva Live Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	67.0%	+8.88%	$40.1M	/goai-vs-tead →
JG Aurora Mobile Limited	D	49/100	—	67.2%	4.0%	-12.21%	$40.3M	/jg-vs-tead →
MF MindForge Inc. (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	0.8%	-6.6%	+11.99%	$41.6M	/mf-vs-tead →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001454938

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Teads Holding Co. (TEAD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.30B (+46.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $889.9M , and +39.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$517.1M, operating cash flow of $7.6M, and free cash flow of $2.0M (-96.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TEAD closed FY2025 with $1.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.30B	-$517.1M	$7.6M	$2.0M	$1.33B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$889.9M	-$711.0K	$68.6M	$61.2M	$549.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$935.8M	$10.2M	$13.7M	$13.7M	—	—

3. TEAD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TEAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TEAD compare to HOLO and GOAI in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEAD?

Where is TEAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TEAD last traded at $0.30 (-12.20% on volume of 286,180 shares), positioning the stock -36.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.47) and -60.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.75). Across its 52-week range of $0.24 to $1.56, TEAD sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.34).